Utah Utes (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) vs. Oregon Ducks (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS)
College Football Week 11
Date and Time: Saturday November 16, 2013 4:05pm EST
Where: Autzen Stadium, Eugene OR
TV: FOX
by Tim, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Uta. +26.5/Ore. -26.5
Over/Under Total: 64
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Stanford dropped the hammer on Oregons National Championship dream boat (sponsored by Nike) by smacking around the North-by-Northwest Fashionistas 26-20. Utah, meanwhile, spent three quarters smothering the highly explosive Arizona State offense only to exhaust a 19-7 fourth quarter lead like a chain-smoker, down the stretch, in the 400 meters! Oregon—the attention-starved marketing machine—will bring their swagger (whats left of it) and halitosis helmet hysteria to the table against the Utah pinchpenny defense. Lets look inside the numbers picking a winner in this silver screen in Eugene!
Sure, football teams have bad games or a bad stretch during a given season. In this day and age, one single loss proves to be (99% of the time) disastrous hunting down the National Championship. For an 8-0 team focused solely on obtaining the single prize (Natl Champs), a team like Oregon—pouring millions upon millions of dollars into the program with the sole idea of winning The Prize—should be deeply concerned with the after affects of losing a regular season game. Mentally, Oregon stands at the precipice of lethargy and collapse after losing to Stanford. Fortunately for Oregon, the Ducks are very much acquainted with Almosts, Should have been, and Could have been. Utah, on the other hand, is used to competing after a loss (Utah is 4-5). But the manner and development of HOW Utah lost against Arizona State (up 12 in the 4th) must be disconcerting for Utah Head Coach Kyle Whittingham and Utes QB Travis Wilson. The Utes had a 49 game-school-record leading after halftime winning streak snapped as the Utes folded like an origami bird in the hands of Kung Fu Master! In the 4th quarter, the quarter where dreams are realized or snuffed out, Utah produced 17 yards of offense and one first down. Oregon was blanked in the first half against Stanford for the 1st time in 4 years! Down 26-0 in the 4th, Oregon used a couple of onside kicks, a blocked field goal, and a decent drive to make the outcome respectable at 26-23. But Oregon was thoroughly outplayed, outcoached, and outhustled for most of the game in Palo Alto. Still, the Utes got closed by a better team and Oregon, down an enormous amount of points, retained the Closer crown manufacturing 23 unanswered points in the 4th quarter against Stanford.
Oregon QB Marcus Mariota came up with an MCL sprain from the Stanford game. After a visit to the local MRI hideaway, Mariota practiced Monday and says hes fine to play. Against the spread, Oregon is 15-3 in their last 18 games, 4-1 at home in their last five and 5-0 ATS after a loss. Oregon is 23-2 in their last 25 games SU, 5-0 SU at home, with the total going UNDER 4 of the last 6 Oregon games. Utah is streaking south—fast—1-4 SU in their last 5, 2-7 SU in their last 9 on the road, 1-5 in their last 6 on the road, and the total has gone UNDER in all 5 of the Utes past 5 games. Utah is 3-3 against the spread as an underdog while Oregon has not been an underdog in 2013. Be cautioned: When we think Oregon after a loss, we think Points Plethora! for the Duck Nation!
Oregon is averaging over 51 points per game while putting up almost 600 yards of offense. Utah is producing around 400 yards of offense per game and around 29 points per. Weve all heard about Utahs miserly defense, but the Oregon defense is only allowing around 18 points per game while giving up around 360 yards of total offense. Utah, in comparison, is giving up over 380 yards per game and 25+ points to their opponents! Utah allows over 5 yards per play while Oregon is close to only 4 yards in the same category.
BET THIS GAME AND ALL FOOTBALL GAMES
(PRO TOO!) AT -105 REDUCED BETTING ODDS AT THE WEB’S BEST SPORTSBOOK: 5DIMES
Yes, for most of us shaken and stirred by the endless costume designs and influences of Nike Inc. on the Oregon program, we would love to see the Ducks squander the Kings Ransom on such frivolities and take another one right in the bean! The fact is: Oregon is going to roll—and roll BIG—against the conservative Utes. Oregon has the Utes outmanned at virtually every position, the Home Field advantage, and the temper of a team capable of raining 7s on an opponent at their own discretion and measured (the 7s) in bushel baskets! If it looks like a Duck, quacks like a Duck then someone is going to need an LED Technician in Eugene to replace the lighting with the Jumbotron in Autzen Stadium this Saturday! Oregon RULES and ROLLS like a green and yellow tideRoll Tide! Oregon -26.5? It might be Oregon -57!!!
Tims Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I’m wagering on the Oregon Ducks at -26.5
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