UNLV vs. Oregon State Picks: CFB Week 8 Predictions

UNLV Rebels (5-1 SU, ATS 3-1)  vs Oregon State Beavers (4-2 SU, ATS 2-2)
Date: 10:00 EST Saturday, October 19th
Location: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
TV: CW
Point Spread: UNLV -7.5/OSU +7.5
Money Line: UNLV -294/OSU  +225
Over/Under: 61.5

This Week 8 non-conference matchup between the UNLV Rebels and Oregon State Beavers is set to kick off at 10:00 PM at Reser Stadium in Corvallis. The Rebels are 5-1 on the season, while the Beavers come in with a 4-2 record. The Rebels are favored by -7.5 points, and the over/under line is currently 61.5 points. The game will be broadcast on CW.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The UNLV Rebels and Oregon State Beavers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the UNLV Rebels have a record of 2-1. Against the spread, each team went 1-2 and finished with an over/under mark of 2-1. These games averaged a combined 88 points per contest.

UNLV Rebels Recent Form:

UNLV heads into Week 8 with a 5-1 record, ranked 49th in our power rankings. They have a 99.9% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 25.3% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Rebels are 3-0 on the road and 1-0 at home this season.

UNLV’s average scoring margin is +23.2 points per game, and they are 3-1 against the spread. As favorites, they are 1-1 ATS, but they’ve gone 2-0 ATS as underdogs.

The over/under line for this week is 61.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged an over/under line of 57.2 points, and their over/under record is 2-2, with an average total of 67.5 points per game.

UNLV’s offense has been one of the most productive in the nation, ranking 4th in points per game with 45.3 heading into week 8. They are also 4th in rushing yards, averaging 263.3 yards per game on the ground. Our power rankings place them 27th overall among college football offenses.

Hajj-Malik Williams leads the Rebels’ passing attack with 642 yards and a passer rating of 142. He has completed 77% of his passes, throwing nine touchdowns and just one interception. Ricky White III has been the standout receiver, with 526 yards and eight touchdowns this season.

UNLV’s defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 20th nationally by allowing just 99 rushing yards per game. However, they’ve struggled against the pass, giving up 286.7 passing yards per game, which ranks 155th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 59.3% of their passes and have a passer rating of 67.8 against UNLV, the 17th-lowest rating in the nation.

In their recent game against Utah State, UNLV’s defense allowed 34 points and 584 total yards, including 461 passing yards. Utah State completed 41 of 59 pass attempts, while UNLV forced three interceptions. On the ground, Utah State rushed 32 times for 123 yards.

Away Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Oregon State Beavers Recent Form:

Oregon State enters Week 8 with a 4-2 record, ranked 70th in our power rankings. They have an 84.7% chance of reaching bowl eligibility but no shot at winning the Pac-12. At home, they are 1-1, and they’ll host UNLV this week.

The Beavers have been favored in three of their six games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +4.8 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, the highest they’ve faced this season. Oregon State’s over/under record is 3-1, with their games averaging 57.5 points and an average line of 49.7 points.

Oregon State’s offense is centered around their running game, ranking 5th in the nation with 260.8 rushing yards per game. They are 4th in rushing attempts, averaging 47 per game. Anthony Hankerson leads the ground attack with 639 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns.

Overall, the Beavers are 36th in scoring, with 31.2 points per game, and they have been excellent on third downs, converting 54.9% of their attempts. Quarterback Gevani McCoy has 1,045 passing yards but has thrown just two touchdowns compared to five interceptions.

Oregon State’s defense has allowed 26.3 points per game this season, including 42 points in their recent loss to Nevada. They gave up 353 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, though they limited Nevada to just 69 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 199.2 rushing yards per game against Oregon State, while the Beavers have allowed 171.7 passing yards per game, ranking 27th nationally. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 56% of their passes.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Across their last five road contests, UNLV has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0 while averaging 37 points per game.
• Through their last three home games, Oregon State has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 22 points per game.
• As the betting underdog, the Oregon State Beavers have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Oregon State posted a straight-up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
• Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the UNLV Rebels struggled vs the spread, going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight-up mark of 2-1.

Free Pick

Things aren’t trending well for Oregon State after giving up 42 points to Nevada and now having to face one of the best offensive units out there. Even though they are on the road, I do like UNLV in this one, and I’d take them to cover at -7.5.

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