UCLA Bruins vs.San Diego State Aztecs Betting Prediction

The UCLA Bruins and San Diego State Aztecs matchup in a non-conference showdown at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA. The over/under for this matchup is currently 48.5 while UCLA is favored by -14.5.

UCLA Bruins (1-0 SU, ATS 1-0) vs San Diego State Aztecs (2-0 SU, ATS 1-0)

Date: Saturday, September 9th

Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA

TV: CBS

Point Spread: UCLA -14.5/San Diego State +14.5 (Make UCLA a +5.5 underdog with a 20 point college football teaser offered only at Wagerweb Sportsbook!)

Money Line: UCLA -710/San Diego State +476

Over/Under: 48.5

Head-to-Head Matchup:

These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, UCLA has gone 2-1. Against the spread, each team went 1-2 and finished with an over/under mark of 2-1. These games averaged a combined 58 points per contest.

UCLA Bruins Recent Form:

In their opening game of the season, the Bruins met up with Coastal Carolina, picking up a 27-13 win and getting their season off to a 1-0 start.

The over/under line going into this matchup was 66.5, resulting in a hit for the under. At kick-off, UCLA was favored by 15.5, resulting in an ATS loss despite a straight-up win.

Quarterback Dante Moore threw for two touchdowns in UCLA’s win over Coastal Carolina. Overall, he had a passer rating of 105.21 while completing 58.3% of his passes for 143 yards.

Carson Steele carried the ball 13 times and led the team with 76 yards on the ground and did not run for a touchdown in the game. J.Michael Sturdivant paced UCLA with his five receptions for 136 yards and one touchdown.

Defensively, UCLA allowed a total of 345. This includes giving up 56 yards allowed on the ground and 289 passing yards.

Away Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

San Diego State Aztecs Recent Form:

After taking down Ohio by a score of 20-13, San Diego State is still undefeated at 2-0.

Looking at the point-spread for this game, San Diego State covered as 2.5-point favorites. While on the over/under, the betting line was 49.5 at game time, resulting in a hit for the under.

Against Ohio, Jalen Mayden threw for 164 yards on a completion percentage of 63.0%. In the win, he threw two touchdowns and had a passer rating of 104.55.

Finishing the game with 78 yards on the ground, Jaylon Armstead led San Diego State in rushing against Ohio. However, he did not run for a touchdown in the game. Mark Redman paced San Diego State with his five receptions for 62 yards and two touchdowns.

The Aztecs’ defense finished the game by giving up 390. The team’s run defense allowed 111 compared to 279 yards passing.

Home Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Betting Trends

• UCLA are 3-2 Against the spread in their last five games on the road.
• San Diego State’s ATS record at home (last three) is 3-0.
• San Diego State’s ATS record in their five most recent games as an underdog is 3-2.
• UCLA’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 1-4.

Line Movement:

The Bruins’ current moneyline payout is -704 compared to -715 where it opened. The implied win probabilities for each team sit at 88% for UCLA and 18 for San Diego State. Since the lines have opened, UCLA has moved from -13.5 point favorites to their current line of -14.5 (-110). San Diego State is currently +14.5 (-111) point underdogs at home. The over/under line for this game currently remains the same as when it opened at 48.5. But there has been some movement on the payouts, as the under payout has shifted from -109 to its current value of -108.

Free Pick

Even though San Diego State is undefeated at 2-0, I don’t see them hanging with UCLA. Look for UCLA to run away with this one. I’m taking them at -14.5.

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