UCF Knights at Arizona State Sun Devils Total Pick

UCF Knights at Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview | November 9th
Where: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
When: Saturday, November 9th at 7:00 PM EST
Watch: ESPN2

Betting Odds
Spread: Arizona State -3.0
Total: 55.5 Over/Under

This Saturday, two Big 12 newcomers, the UCF Knights and the Arizona State Sun Devils, meet in Tempe, Arizona, for a conference showdown at Mountain America Stadium. With both teams new to the Big 12 and having only played once before in 2002, this matchup promises excitement as they each battle for a key win in their debut conference season. Set as a tight game with Arizona State favored by only a field goal, this clash could go down to the wire.

UCF Knights

The Knights come into this game at 4-5, buoyed by a recent win over Arizona that snapped a rough patch. UCF boasts a high-powered offense, ranking 10th nationally with an average of 484.7 yards per game. Freshman quarterback Dylan Rizk has shown promise, throwing four touchdowns without an interception, and looks to notch his second win in as many starts. UCF’s ground game, led by RJ Harvey with 1,200+ yards and 16 touchdowns, has been dominant, averaging 272.3 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Knights are strong against the run but vulnerable through the air, allowing an average of 25.3 points per game. Their defensive approach has excelled in the red zone, often limiting opponents to field goals instead of touchdowns.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Arizona State, sitting at 6-2, brings a balanced attack to the field, with quarterback Sam Leavitt showcasing his dual-threat capabilities. Leavitt has accounted for over 1,700 total yards with 11 passing touchdowns and four rushing scores. Jordyn Tyson leads the Sun Devils’ receiving corps, with running back Cam Skattebo a major contributor on the ground. However, Skattebo’s status is in question for this game, potentially shifting Arizona State’s offensive approach. In his absence, they may rely on Kyson Brown and DeCarlos Brooks to share the workload, though their combined 55 carries this season indicate a lack of experience. Defensively, Arizona State allows 334.8 yards per game and ranks 44th against the run. The Sun Devils’ defense plays particularly well at home, contributing to their 4-0 record in Tempe this season.

My Pick: Under 55.5 (-110)

The loss of Cam Skattebo for Arizona State and UCF’s reliance on a freshman quarterback making his first road start contribute to a cautious outlook on the point total. Both teams have strong running games, but they will be up against each other’s defensive strengths, leading to a game that’s likely dominated by rushing and a ticking clock. Expect a slower pace, limited scoring opportunities, and for neither team to exceed 30 points. I’m taking the under in this one.

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