UAB Blazers vs LSU Tigers Spread Winner

UAB Blazers (5-5 SU, ATS 3-6-0) vs. LSU Tigers (8-2 SU, ATS 5-4-0)

Date: Saturday, November 19th

Location: Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA

TV: ESN2

Point Spread: UAB +14.5/LSU -14.5 (Did you know that you can make UAB +34.5 or LSU +5.5 by inserting either into a massive 20 point college football teaser at Wagerweb Sportsbook?)

Money Line: Alabama-Birmingham +451/Louisiana St. -661

Over/Under: 53.5

RECENT FORM

This season, the Blazers have an overall record of 5-5. This includes a 3-4 mark in Conference USA action. This season, the Blazers have been favored in 7 games while posting an ATS mark of 3-6-0. Their average over-under betting line is 49.5 leading to an over-under record of 4-5-0.

In their last game, the Blazers are coming off a 41-21 win over North Texas. In addition, they added an ATS win, as they were 6.5 favorites on the spread. In the game, UAB finished with one touchdown through the air while throwing for 234 yards. The team ended the game with four rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 271 yards on the ground.

Heading into the matchup, Dylan Hopkins has an overall passer rating of 111.51 on a total of 1467 yards. Thus far, he has thrown for eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Wide receiver Trea Shropshire has come up with the most production for the team, with a total of 612 receiving yards. The top option in the run game for the team is DeWayne McBride, who has carried the ball 204 times for a total of 1404 yards.

The Tigers come into the game with an overall record of 8-2. This strong play includes going 6-1 in SEC action. This season, the Tigers have been favored in 5 games while posting an ATS mark of 5-4-0. Their average over-under betting line is 48.85 leading to an over-under record of 3-6-0.

In their previous game, the Tigers picked up a 13-10 home win over Arkansas. This was an impressive victory as they were also the 5.0-point underdogs. For the game, the LSU threw for 86 yards but did not come up with a passing touchdown. Their overall completion percentage came in at 53.3%. On the ground, the team ended with one rushing touchdown while averaging 3.9 yards per carry for a total of 198 yards.

The team’s leading quarterback is Jayden Daniels, who comes into the game with a passer rating of 103.61 on a completion percentage of 69.0%. Malik Nabers leads the team’s receiving corps with 44 catches for a total of 520 yards. In the run game, Josh Williams has accumulated 481 yards on 92 attempts to lead the team.

BETTING TRENDS

Through their last ten matchups, UAB has gone 5-5-0 straight up and 4-6-0 vs. the spread. They maintained a positive scoring differential in these games by averaging 32.0 per game and allowing 21.3. Their last ten over-under record is 4-6-0.

Through their last five road games, UAB has an ATS record of just 1-4-0. However, their overall record was 1-4-0 while averaging 20.6 points per game.

Against the spread, LSU has gone 6-4-0 in their last ten games. Over this same period, their straight-up record is 8-2-0. On offense, the team averaged 32.6 points per game while allowing 21.0. Their over-under mark (last 10) is 4-6-0.

In their last five home games, LSU has averaged 31.8 points per game while allowing 21.4. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1-0 while going 4-1-0.

More Picks: Ole Miss Vs. Arkansas betting predictions for their 11/19/22

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into the game, the Blazers are ranked 40th in points per game, averaging 29 points per contest. For the game, they are matched up against an LSU defense that allows an average of 21.0 points per game.

So far, UAB has relied heavily on the ground game, ranking 17th in attempts per game, with an average of 42.5. This heavy usage has led to an average of 246.4 rush yards per game, placing them 6th in the NCAA. This week, the Blazers will be facing an LSU defense ranked 54th in rush yards allowed per game. On the season, they have averaged 246.4 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Tigers are ranked 39th in points per game and are matched up against a tough UAB defense allowing just 21.3 points per game. LSU must continue to move the chains with a high rate of success, as they are among the NCAA leaders in converting on 3rd downs.

So far, the LSU offense is near the NCAA average in rushing, averaging 184.9 yards per game on the ground. This year, they have handed the ball off an average of 39.3 times per game, placing them 41st in the country. This week, the Tigers will be facing a UAB defense that is ranked 108th in rush yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 201.12 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

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