Tulane vs. Army: Betting Preview & Against the Spread Pick

Tulane Green Wave (9-3 SU, ATS 8-3)  vs Army Black Knights (10-1 SU, ATS 6-4)
Date: 8:00 EST Friday, December 6th
Location: Michie Stadium, West Point, NY
TV: ABC
Point Spread: TU -4.5/USMA +4.5
Money Line: TU -198/USMA  +161
Over/Under: 48

ABC will be covering the matchup between the Tulane Green Wave and the Army Black Knights this Friday, December 6th, with a kick-off set for 8:00 ET. Tulane comes in with a 9-3 record, while Army is 10-1 on the season. The game will be played at Michie Stadium in West Point. Tulane is the -4.5 point favorite, and the over/under line is currently 48 points.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The Tulane Green Wave and Army Black Knights did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Tulane Green Wave have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread, the Army Black Knights went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 56 points per game.

Tulane Green Wave Recent Form:

Tulane enters Week 15 with a 9-3 record, ranked 20th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 66.7% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference. The Green Wave are 5-1 on the road and 3-2 at home this season.

Against the spread, Tulane is 8-3, with a +20.7 average scoring margin. They are 5-1 ATS on the road and 3-2 at home. As the favorite, they’ve gone 7-2 ATS this season.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 48 points. Tulane’s games have averaged 57.5 points, with an average line of 54.1 points. Their over/under record is 7-4, with their games averaging 3.9 points over the line.

Heading into week 15, Tulane’s offense is averaging 39.1 points per game, ranking 6th nationally. They are also 2nd in third-down conversions, converting 52.3% of their attempts. Their rushing game is strong, with 214.5 yards per game on 41.5 attempts, placing them 13th in rushing yards.

Makhi Hughes leads the rushing attack with 1,306 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Darian Mensah has thrown for 2,514 yards with 20 touchdowns and five interceptions, boasting a passer rating of 114. Tulane is ranked 27th in our offensive power rankings.

Despite allowing 34 points in their recent 34-24 loss to Memphis, Tulane’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 14th nationally by giving up just 18.4 points per game. In the game against Memphis, they allowed 460 total yards, including 242 rushing yards on 46 attempts and 218 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 127.9 rushing yards per game on 29.3 attempts against Tulane, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 67.4, the 11th-lowest in the country, averaging 180.5 passing yards per game with a 55.6% completion rate.

Away Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Army Black Knights Recent Form:

With a 10-1 record, Army is set to face Tulane in Week 15. The Black Knights are 5-0 at home and rank 55th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 33.3% shot at winning the American Athletic title. Army also has an 8.3% chance of making the college football playoff.

Army has been favored in eight of their 11 games, going 8-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +17.6 points per game, and they are 6-4 against the spread. On the road, they are 4-1 ATS, while their home ATS record stands at 2-3.

The over/under line for this week is 48 points. Army’s over/under record is 5-5, with their games averaging 47.8 points. Their average over/under line this season has been 49.7 points, and they’ve finished an average of two points below the line.

Army’s offense is centered around their dominant rushing attack, leading the nation with 314.3 rushing yards per game. They rank 2nd in rushing attempts, averaging 53.8 per game, and are 4th in third-down conversions, converting 50.4% of their attempts. Overall, they are 28th in scoring, with 32.7 points per game, and are ranked 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15.

Kanye Udoh leads the team with 906 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored nine touchdowns. Quarterback Bryson Daily has thrown for 860 yards with eight touchdowns and just one interception, giving him a passer rating of 127. Casey Reynolds has 409 receiving yards and three touchdowns, averaging 25 yards per catch.

Army’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 4th nationally by allowing just 15.1 points per game. They’ve given up 192.5 passing yards per game, ranking 44th, and 103.4 rushing yards per game, which is 16th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 74.5 against Army, completing 63.6% of their passes.

In their recent game against UTSA, Army’s defense allowed 24 points and 326 total yards. UTSA ran the ball 25 times for 119 yards and threw for 207 yards. Army’s defense also forced two interceptions in the game.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• The Tulane Green Wave are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
• In their last ten games at home, the Army Black Knights have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
• As the betting underdog, the Army Black Knights have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Army posted a straight-up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
• As the betting favorite, the Tulane Green Wave have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Tulane posted a straight-up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Free Pick

Based on my power rankings, I have Tulane as the slightly better squad. However, I don’t see them being good enough for this spread to be at -4.5. Look for this one to down the final drive, and I don’t see it being decided by anything more than a field goal. For Friday’s matchup, I’m going with Army +4.5.

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