Tulane Green Wave vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Analysis & Prediction ATS

Tulane Green Wave (9-2 SU, ATS 9-2-0) vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-2 SU, ATS 3-7-1)

Date: Friday, November 25th

Location: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

TV: ABC

Point Spread: Green Wave +2.5/Bearcats -2.5 (Bet it for FREE using one of our 100% sportsbook bonuses!)

Money Line: Green Wave +112/Bearcats -136

Over/Under: 47.5

RECENT FORM

This season, the Green Wave hope to continue playing well against American Athletic teams, as are 6-1. Their overall record is 9-2. This season, the Green Wave have been favored in 9 games while posting an ATS mark of 9-2-0. Their average over-under betting line is 55.36 leading to an over-under record of 5-6-0.

In their last game, the Green Wave are coming off a 59-24 win over SMU. In addition, they added an ATS win, as they were 3.5 favorites on the spread. The team finished the game by throwing for three touchdown passes. Overall, the Green Wave had 141 passing yards on a completion percentage of 64.3%. The team ended the game with five rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 310 yards on the ground.

The team’s leading quarterback is Michael Pratt, who comes into the game with a passer rating of 110.17. Heading into this week’s game, he has a total of 2220 passing yards. Wide receiver Shae Wyatt has come up with the most production for the team, with a total of 520 receiving yards. The top option in the run game for the team is Tyjae Spears, who has carried the ball 155 times for a total of 996 yards.

The Bearcats come into the game with an overall record of 9-2. This strong play includes going 6-1 in American Athletic action. This season, the Bearcats have been favored in 9 games while posting an ATS mark of 3-7-1. Their average over-under betting line is 53.64 leading to an over-under record of 5-6-0.

In their previous game, the Bearcats picked up a 23-3 home win over Temple. This was an impressive victory as they were also the 17.0-point underdogs. In the game, Cincinnati finished with one touchdown through the air while throwing for 257 yards. On the ground, the team ended with one rushing touchdown while averaging 3.0 yards per carry for a total of 131 yards.

Ben Bryant heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer rating of 97.5 on a total of 2732 yards through the air. [‘But, leading up to the game, he is listed as questionable on the injury report (Foot).’] Wide receiver Tyler Scott has come up with the most production for the team, with a total of 888 receiving yards. The top option in the run game for the team is Charles McClelland, who has carried the ball 132 times for a total of 777 yards.

BETTING TRENDS

In their last ten games, Tulane has covered the spread at a rate of 80.0%, while putting together a straight-up record of 8-2-0. The team’s average scoring differential was 14.0, as they averaged 34.4 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 20.4. Their last ten over-under record is 5-5-0.

In their last five road games, Tulane has averaged 28.8 points per game while allowing 22.2. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1-0 while going 5-0-0.

In their last ten games, Cincinnati has covered the spread at a rate of 90.0%, while putting together a straight-up record of 9-1-0. On average, the team scored 32.5 points while allowing 18.6, leading to a positive scoring differential.

Across their last five home contests, Cincinnati has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0-0 while averaging 36.6 points per game.

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

So far, the Green Wave are averaging 35.09 points per game on offense, which is good for 25th most in college football and have a tough matchup against a Bearcats defense averaging 19.73 points per game. Tulane may have a difficult time throwing the ball, as Cincinnati is 21st in sacks.

So far, the Tulane offense is near the NCAA average in rushing, averaging 189.73 yards per game on the ground. This year, they have handed the ball off an average of 40.36 times per game, placing them 29th in the country. This week, the Green Wave will face a Cincinnati defense ranked 57th in rush yards allowed per game. This year, they have averaged 206.67 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Bearcats are ranked 42nd in points per game. This week, they are facing a Tulane defense that is allowing an average of 19.45 points per game and has had its problems getting off the field on third down.

One aspect of the game that could benefit a Cincinnati offense that struggles to generate big plays in the passing attack is that they are facing off a Tulane defense that has yet to generate a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. So far, the Green Wave is just 147th in sacks per game.

For the season, the Cincinnati offense averages just 127.91 yards per game on the ground. This production has come on an average of 31.36 rush attempts per game (115th). This week, the Bearcats will be facing a Tulane defense that is ranked 93rd in rush yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 142.89 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

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