Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcats Recommended Bet

Toledo Rockets (7-5 SU, ATS 4-7-0) vs Ohio Bobcats (9-3 SU, ATS 9-3-0)

Date: Saturday, December 3rd

Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Rockets -1.5/Bobcats +1.5 (STOP betting games at -110! YOU-ARE-WASTING-MONEY! Start laying only -105 TODAY at BAS Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you made the switch!)

Money Line: Rockets -126/Bobcats +105

Over/Under: 55

RECENT FORM

Last season, the Rockets finished with an overall record of 7-5. This includes going 5-3 in Mid-American action. This season, the Rockets have been favored in 10 games while posting an ATS mark of 4-7-0. Their average over-under betting line is 49.54 leading to an over-under record of 6-5-0.

In their last matchup, the Rockets entered as 8.5-point underdogs to Western Michigan. With the 20-14 loss, Toledo added an ATS loss. The team finished the game by throwing for one touchdown pass. Overall, the Rockets had 235 passing yards on a completion percentage of 36.7%. On the ground, the team ended with one rushing touchdown while averaging 3.0 yards per carry for a total of 99 yards.

DeQuan Finn heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer rating of 89.46. So far, he has completed 156 passes for a total of 1978 yards. Through the air, the team will be looking for a big game from its leading receiver, Jerjuan Newton. On the season, he has caught 42 for 711 yards. The Rockets have turned to running back Jacquez Stuart a total of 102 times for a total of 566 rushing yards.

The Bobcats come into the game with an overall record of 9-3. This strong play includes going 7-1 in Mid-American action. This season, the Bobcats have been favored in 5 games while posting an ATS mark of 9-3-0. Their average over-under betting line is 58.38 leading to an over-under record of 7-5-0.

This week, the Bobcats will look to pick up another win, as they are coming off a 38-14 win over Bowling Green. With the 24-point victory, Ohio also covered the spread. In the game, Ohio finished with one touchdown through the air while throwing for 196 yards. The team ended the game with four rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 188 yards on the ground.

Quarterback Kurtis Rourke comes in the game having completed 244 of 353 passes for a passer rating of 117.0. [‘However, Toledo will need to replace his production, as he is listed as out on the injury report.’] Receiver Sam Wiglusz heads into the game, as the team’s leader in receiving yards, with a total of 814. In the run game, Sieh Bangura has accumulated 884 yards on 177 attempts to lead the team.

BETTING TRENDS

Over their last ten games, the Rockets have covered the spread at a rate of 50.0%. In these games, they posted a straight-up mark of 5-5-0. Their last ten scoring differential sits at -0.7, as they averaged 30.8 points per game while allowing 31.5 points. The over-under record in these games was 5-5-0.

Through their last five road contests, the Rockets’ offense has averaged 26.8 points per game while allowing an average of 25.4. Toledo posted an overall record of 2-3-0 while going 1-4-0 ATS.

Over the Bobcats’ last ten games, they have a strong record of 8-2-0 while also going 8-2-0 against the spread. Their last ten scoring differential sits at +8.9, as they averaged 35.7 points per game while allowing 26.8. The over-under record in these games was 5-5-0.

Across their last five home contests, Ohio has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0-0 while averaging 44.2 points per game.

More Picks: Get our betting analysis plus pick to bet on the UCF/Tulane game >>>

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into the game, the Rockets are ranked 35th in points per game and have a good matchup vs. an Ohio defense allowing 29.3 points per game and struggling to get off the field on 3rd down.

Although the Rockets have turned to the passing attack at a below-average rate this season, they have an opportunity to find success through the air vs. an Ohio defense allowing teams to complete passes at a rate of 52.45%.

This season, the Toledo offense has struggled in the run game, averaging just 173.25 yards per game on the ground. In terms of attempts, they rank 32nd in the NCAA at 40.0 per contest. This week, the Rockets will face an Ohio defense ranked 51st in rush yards allowed per game. This year, they have averaged 177.91 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Bobcats are ranked 30th in points per game and will be taking on a Toledo defensive unit allowing 27 points per contest.

One aspect of the game that could benefit an Ohio offense that struggles to generate big plays in the passing attack is that they are facing off a Toledo defense that has yet to generate a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. So far, the Rockets are just 47th in sacks per game.

So far, the Ohio offense is averaging just 142.33 yards per game on the ground. This production has come on an average of 35.5 rush attempts per game (80th). This week, the Bobcats will be facing a Toledo defense that is ranked 98th in rush yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 158.4 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

FREE NCAAF PICK

The Rockets lost five games this season and turnovers were the cause finishing with a combined -15 in turnovers over the matches. They face a smoking-hot Bobcats team that hasn’t lost the turnover battle in any MAC games this season. CJ Harris will have to improve off his 10 of 21 passing in his first start and I think he will making Ohio +1.5 the recommended bet. Bet your Week 14 college football picks for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $300 when you use bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!