Texas vs. Michigan Week 2 Predictions & Spread Pick

Texas Longhorns (1-0 SU, ATS 1-0) vs Michigan Wolverines (1-0 SU, ATS 0-1)

Date: 12:00 EST Saturday, September 7th

Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI

TV: FOX

Point Spread: UT -7.5/UM +7.5

Money Line: Horns -301/Mich +238

Over/Under: 42.5

Bet your Week 2 cfb games for FREE with a sportsbook bonus code!

Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor is the site for this week two non-conference matchup between the Texas Longhorns and the Michigan Wolverines. The game is set for 12:00 ET, and you can catch the action on FOX. The Longhorns are the -7.5-point favorites on the road, with the over/under line currently at 42.5 points. Both teams come in with a 1-0 record to start the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The Texas Longhorns and Michigan Wolverines did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Texas Longhorns have a record of 3-0. The Texas Longhorns also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 74 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

Texas Longhorns Recent Form:

After their season-opening win over Colorado State, Texas is now 1-0. The Longhorns were -35 point favorites and not only won but also covered the spread, dominating their opponent 52-0. The game’s over/under was set at 62.5 points, but the combined score fell short of this, resulting in an under.

Texas set the tone early, taking a 7-0 lead in the first quarter. The Longhorns then exploded for 24 points in the second quarter, taking a 31-0 lead into halftime. In the second half, Texas added 14 more points in the third quarter and closed out the game with a final touchdown in the fourth quarter, while their defense held Colorado State scoreless.

Quinn Ewers orchestrated Texas’ offense effectively in their 52-0 win, throwing for 260 yards and three touchdowns on 20 of 27 passing. Ewers’ passer rating for the game was 125.54, and he connected with Ryan Wingo four times for 70 yards, the most on the team.

The Longhorns’ offense totaled 547 yards, with 355 coming through the air. Texas also had 192 rushing yards, with Jerrick Gibson leading the way with 67 yards on 10 carries. The Longhorns’ ground game was effective, scoring three rushing touchdowns in addition to Ewers’ four passing touchdowns.

Texas’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, holding Colorado State to just 74 passing yards on 13 completions. The Longhorns picked off two passes and limited their opponents to 192 total yards. Colorado State managed just 11 first downs and 118 rushing yards, failing to score in a 52-0 defeat.

Away Injury Report

Michigan Wolverines Recent Form:

Michigan began their season with a 30-10 win over Fresno State, bringing their record to 1-0. The Wolverines were -21 point favorites but failed to cover the spread, and the combined score of 40 points fell short of the over/under line of 45.5 points.

The Wolverines led 7-0 after the first quarter, but Fresno State tied the game at 10-10 by halftime. Michigan regained the lead in the third quarter, and a strong fourth quarter saw them outscore Fresno State 17-7 to secure the win.

In their 30-10 win over Fresno State, Michigan’s offense totaled 272 yards, with 151 coming on the ground. Davis Warren, who passed for 118 yards and one touchdown, was the team’s leading passer. Warren completed 60% of his passes, with his longest completion going for 28 yards.

Kalel Mullings was the team’s leading rusher, averaging 6.1 yards per carry for a total of 92 yards. Colston Loveland led the receiving corps with eight catches for 87 yards and a touchdown.

Michigan’s defense was dominant against Fresno State, holding them to just 9 rushing yards on 22 attempts. The Wolverines allowed 235 passing yards and one touchdown, but they also came up with two interceptions. In total, Michigan gave up 244 yards and 18 first downs, but they still managed to come out on top, 30-10.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Across their three previous road games, Texas has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 28 points per game.
• The Michigan Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 5-0 straight-up.
• Through their last five games as the underdog, the Michigan Wolverines have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
• Through their last five games as the favorite, the Texas Longhorns have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

Free Pick

The big question mark for this matchup is if Michigan will be able to move the ball and put up points, as Texas is one of the top defensive units in College Football. Although Michigan also boasts one of the better defensive units out there, I see Texas’ offense doing enough to help them pull out the win. However, when it comes to a pick vs the spread, look for this to be a low-scoring, tight game. My pick would be Michigan if you can get them at +7.5.