Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators Pick ATS

Tennessee Volunteers (2-0 SU, ATS 1-0) vs Florida Gators (1-1 SU, ATS 0-1)

Date: Saturday, September 16th

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Ten -7/Fla +7

Money Line: Vols -266/Gators +205

Over/Under: 58.5

The Tennessee Volunteers and Florida Gators matchup in a SEC showdown at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL. The over/under for this matchup is currently 58.5 while Tennessee is favored by -7.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The most recent time Tennessee and Florida met up, Tennessee walked away with a 38-33 win. Both teams had no problem moving the ball in the passing game, with Tennessee throwing for 349 yards compared to Florida at 453.

Tennessee Volunteers Recent Form:

Tennessee heads into this week’s game looking for the 2nd win of the season as they opened with a 30-13 win over Austin Peay.

The Volunteers’ passing game featured 33 pass attempts for 228 yards and two scores. In the rushing department, they averaged 7.1 yards per carry and notched one rushing touchdown.

In the game, Joe Milton III not only threw for two touchdowns but also ran for one touchdown. He concluded with 228 passing yards and a completion rate of 63.6%.

Jaylen Wright carried the ball 13 times and led the team with 118 yards on the ground and did not run for a touchdown in the game. The team’s top receiver was Ramel Keyton, who hauled in one touchdown and caught five balls for 52 yards.

Tennessee’s defense gave up 339 yards of offense. In the passing game, they allowed 260 while on the ground they gave up 79 yards.

Away Injury Report

Florida Gators Recent Form:

Florida heads into this week’s game looking for the 2nd win of the season as they opened with a 49-7 win over McNeese.

The Gators’ finished with 23 pass attempts, accumulating 233 yards and one score. In the rushing game, they averaged 6.4 yards per carry and notched six rushing touchdowns.

Quarterback Graham Mertz finished with 193 passing yards in the team’s win over McNeese. Not only did he throw for one touchdown but he ran for one score.

Montrell Johnson Jr. carried the rushing load for Florida against McNeese, accumulating 119 yards on 15 attempts and finding the endzone two times. Ricky Pearsall had a stellar performance as the team’s top receiver, scoring one touchdown and making six receptions for 123 yards.

Against McNeese, the Gators defense was excellent, giving up just 7 points on 112 yards allowed. McNeese’s passing game finished with 66 yards. Up-front, Florida gave up 1.8 yards per attempt.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• On the road, Tennessee has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.
• Florida’s ATS record at home (last ten) is 4-6.
• Florida is 1-2 in their last three games as underdogs.
• Tennessee’s record vs. the spread in their three most recent games as the favorite is 2-1.

Line Movement:

Currently, Tennessee has an implied win percentage of 73% with a moneyline payout of -266. Tennessee actually opened at -315 on the moneyline. As for Florida, they opened at +235 and are currently at +205 with an implied win percentage of 33%. The point spreads have seen limited changes at this stage. Currently, Tennessee is favored by 7 and a payout of -106, while Florida stands at +7 (-115). Starting at 58.5, the over/under line for this matchup has not shifted, but the payout for the over has moved from -113 to its current position at -112.

Free Pick

For this matchup, I like the Gators to keep this game closer than expected. Even though the Volunteers are favored by 7, I see this one coming down to the wire. I’d take Florida as the home dogs. Bet your Week 3 college football picks for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 when you enter bonus code PREDICTEM at Everygame Sportsbook! (You will need to do it in this order: 1. Signup through this special link. 2. Deposit 3. Go DIRECTLY to their Special Offers page and enter bonus code PREDICTEM and your bonus will showup instantly!)