Syracuse at Boston College Pick ATS: Can the Orange Cash In?

Syracuse Orange (6-2 SU, ATS 2-3)  vs Boston College Eagles (4-4 SU, ATS 3-4)
Date: 12:00 EST Saturday, November 9th
Location: Alumni Stadium (MA), Chestnut Hill, MA
TV: CW
Point Spread: SU +2.5/BC -2.5
Money Line: SU +107/BC  -129
Over/Under: 53

Heading into this week 11 matchup, the Boston College Eagles are the -2.5 point favorites at home against the Syracuse Orange. The game is set for 12:00 ET at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, with the over/under line at 53 points. The CW will be handling the TV broadcast. Syracuse comes in with a 6-2 record, while Boston College is 4-4 on the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Last season, the Syracuse Orange and Boston College Eagles did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Boston College Eagles have the leg up at 2-1. The Boston College Eagles also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 45 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

Syracuse Orange Recent Form:

Syracuse heads into Week 11 with a 6-2 record, but they have no chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections. However, they are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible. The Orange are 2-1 at home and 1-1 on the road this season, and they rank 62nd in our power rankings.

Syracuse’s ATS record stands at 2-3, and they have a +4.2 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in three of their eight games, going 1-2 against the spread as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 59.2 points. Syracuse’s average over/under line is 54.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 53 points.

Syracuse’s offense is centered around their passing game, leading the nation in both passing attempts and completions per game. They are 5th in passing yards, averaging 349 yards per game, and are 33rd in scoring, with 31.8 points per game. They rank 9th in third-down conversions, converting 49.6% of their attempts, and are 39th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Kyle McCord has thrown for 2,761 yards, completing 64% of his passes, with 21 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. His passer rating is 90. On the ground, Syracuse is averaging 96 rushing yards per game. LeQuint Allen has 602 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. Trebor Pena leads the receivers with 592 yards and five touchdowns on 54 catches.

Syracuse’s defense has allowed an average of 27.5 points per game this season, including 31 points in their recent overtime win against Virginia Tech. The Hokies gained 455 total yards, with 249 rushing yards on 48 attempts and 206 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 135.1 rushing yards per game on 29.2 attempts, while Syracuse’s secondary has given up 215.6 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 67.8% of their passes and posted a passer rating of 98.3 against the Orange defense.

Away Injury Report

Boston College Eagles Recent Form:

Boston College enters Week 11 with a 4-4 record, hosting Syracuse. They’ve gone 2-1 at home this season and are ranked 60th in our CFB power rankings. The Eagles have a 56.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, but their odds of winning the Atlantic Coast are at 0.0%.

Boston College is 2-0 as the favorite this season and 1-4 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +4.4 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread. As the favorite, they are 0-2 ATS, but they’ve gone 3-2 ATS when playing as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is set at 53 points. Boston College’s games have averaged 48.4 points, with an average over/under line of 50.1 points. Their over/under record for the season stands at 2-5.

Boston College’s offense is averaging 26.4 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 63rd in the nation. They are ranked 72nd in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos has thrown for 1,352 yards with a passer rating of 117. He has completed 63% of his passes, throwing 17 touchdowns and four interceptions.

Boston College ranks 105th in passing yards per game, averaging 192.9. They are 36th in rushing attempts, averaging 163.2 yards per game on the ground. Treshaun Ward leads the rushing attack with 369 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Lewis Bond has 396 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Boston College’s defense has allowed an average of 22 points per game this season, ranking 26th nationally. In their recent game against Louisville, they gave up 31 points, including 210 rushing yards on 27 attempts, though they held the Cardinals to 156 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 142.5 rushing yards per game and 224.8 passing yards against Boston College’s defense. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of 74.6 and are completing 61% of their throws against the Eagles.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Syracuse Orange have a straight-up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.
• Across the Boston College Eagles’ last three home games, the team averaged 18 points per game while allowing 31. Their record vs. the spread in these contests was 1-2 while going 0-3 straight-up.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Syracuse Orange have a straight-up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
• Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Boston College Eagles have a strong record of 3-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.

Free Pick

Even with Syracuse being on the road for this matchup, getting them at plus odds on the money line is a great bet. Syracuse’s offense has a big advantage in this one, and they have a chance to have a big game. I’m going with the Orange to not only cover but win this one straight-up.

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