South Florida vs. FAU: Week 10 CFB Picks and Predictions

South Florida Bulls (3-4 SU, ATS 2-4)  vs Florida Atlantic Owls (2-5 SU, ATS 3-3)

Date: 7:30 EST Friday, November 1st

Location: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, FL

TV: ESPN2

Point Spread: USF -2.5/FAU +2.5

Money Line: South Fla. -137/Fla Atlantic  +114

Over/Under: 52.5

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ESPN2 will be covering the South Florida Bulls vs. Florida Atlantic Owls matchup, set to kick off at 7:30 ET from FAU Stadium in Boca Raton. South Florida comes in with a 3-4 record, and they are the -2.5-point favorites on the road. The money line odds are -137 for South Florida and +114 for Florida Atlantic. The over/under line is currently at 52.5 points for this week 10 college football game.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The South Florida Bulls and Florida Atlantic Owls did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 1-2. Against the spread, each team also went 1-2 and finished with an over/under mark of 2-1. These games averaged a combined 50 points per contest.

South Florida Bulls Recent Form:

South Florida enters Week 10 against Florida Atlantic with a 3-4 record. They are ranked 95th in our CFB power rankings but have a 58.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Bulls are 1-2 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.

South Florida is 2-0 as the favorite and 0-4 as the underdog this season. Their average scoring margin is -4.9 points per game, and they are 2-4 against the spread, going 2-1 ATS on the road and 0-3 ATS at home.

The Bulls’ over/under record is 2-3-1, with their games averaging 55.1 points. Their average over/under line is 60.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 52.5 points.

South Florida’s offense is averaging 25.1 points per game, placing them 66th in the nation. They are ranked 113th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. The Bulls are 92nd in third-down conversions, converting just 36.4% of their attempts, and their passing game ranks 112th, averaging 197.3 yards per game. They are 58th in both passing and rushing attempts per game, with an average of 154 rushing yards per game.

Quarterback Byrum Brown has thrown for 836 yards this season, with a passer rating of 82. He has two touchdown passes and no interceptions. Kelley Joiner leads the rushing attack with 364 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Sean Atkins is the leading receiver with 358 yards on 36 catches, but he has yet to score a touchdown.

South Florida’s defense is allowing 30 points per game this season, including 25 points in their recent win over UAB. They gave up 485 total yards, with 384 yards coming through the air, but managed to limit UAB to 101 rushing yards and forced one interception.

Opponents are averaging 292 passing yards per game against South Florida, completing 64.9% of their passes. The Bulls rank 66th in the nation against the run, allowing 139.3 rushing yards per game on 35.1 attempts per contest.

Away Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Owls Recent Form:

Florida Atlantic enters Week 10 with a 2-5 record, facing South Florida at home. They rank 107th in our power rankings and have a 25% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Owls are 1-2 at home this season.

FAU’s average scoring margin is -3.7 points per game, and they are 3-3 against the spread. At home, they’ve gone 2-1 ATS and are 1-1 as the favorite.

 The Owls’ over/under record is 4-2, with their games averaging 52.6 points. This week’s line is set at 52.5 points, compared to their season average of 47.8 points.

Florida Atlantic’s offense has been underwhelming this season, ranking 119th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. They are averaging 24.4 points per game, placing them 68th nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 30.7%, and their passing game has struggled, averaging 181.1 yards per game.

Cam Fancher leads the team with 1,154 passing yards, but he has thrown more interceptions (6) than touchdowns (5), and his passer rating is 77. CJ Campbell Jr. is the top rusher with 416 yards and six touchdowns. The Owls are 54th in rushing attempts, averaging 170.9 yards per game on the ground.

Florida Atlantic’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 38 points in their recent game against UTSA. Despite giving up just 103 rushing yards on 40 attempts, they were torched through the air for 443 yards and four passing touchdowns.

On the season, FAU’s defense ranks 43rd in the nation, allowing 192.6 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing just 49.4% of their passes, the third-lowest rate in the country. However, they have struggled against the run, giving up 203.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 153rd nationally.

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