South Carolina at Vanderbilt Pick – Does Vandy Bounce?

South Carolina Gamecocks (5-3 SU, ATS 6-2)  vs Vanderbilt Commodores (6-3 SU, ATS 4-2)
Date: 4:15 EST Saturday, November 9th
Location: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN
TV: SECN
Point Spread: USC -3.5/VU +3.5
Money Line: S. Carolina -172/Vandy  +143
Over/Under: 46.5

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SEC Network will be covering the Southeastern matchup between the South Carolina Gamecocks and Vanderbilt Commodores, set to kick off at 4:15 ET at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville. South Carolina is coming in with a 5-3 record, while Vanderbilt sits at 6-3. The over/under line is at 46.5 points, and the Gamecocks are the -3.5-point favorites on the road. The current money line odds are +143 for Vanderbilt and -172 for South Carolina.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The South Carolina Gamecocks and Vanderbilt Commodores did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the South Carolina Gamecocks have a record of 2-1. The South Carolina Gamecocks also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 55 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 0-2-1.

South Carolina Gamecocks Recent Form:

South Carolina heads into Week 11 against Vanderbilt with a 5-3 record, holding the 18th spot in our power rankings. They have a 99.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the Southeastern title. The Gamecocks are 3-2 at home and 2-1 on the road this season.

South Carolina has a 6-2 record against the spread, with a perfect 3-0 mark on the road. They’ve been favored in three games and have a +11.6 average scoring margin this season.

Their over/under record stands at 5-3, with an average line of 46.1 points. South Carolina’s games average 49.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 46.5 points.

South Carolina’s offense averages 30.5 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 40th in the nation. They are ranked 71st in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game is the focal point, with 42.8 attempts per game, ranking 17th nationally, and they are averaging 179.6 rushing yards per game.

Raheim Sanders leads the rushing attack with 570 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Quarterback LaNorris Sellers has thrown for 1,212 yards, with seven touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 86.

South Carolina’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 16th nationally by allowing just 18.9 points per game. In their recent win over Texas A&M, they gave up 20 points while forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 114.5 rushing yards per game against South Carolina, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 64.7, the 10th-lowest in the country.

Away Injury Report

Vanderbilt Commodores Recent Form:

Vanderbilt enters Week 11 with a 6-3 record, hosting South Carolina. They are projected to be bowl-eligible but have just a 0.2% chance of winning the Southeastern, according to our projections. The Commodores are ranked 34th in our power rankings.

Vanderbilt has been favored in only two games this season, going 1-1 as the favorite. As the underdog, they are 3-1, and their average scoring margin is +9.3 points per game. Against the spread, they are 4-2, covering in all four games as the underdog.

Their over/under record stands at 2-3-1, with an average total of 51.3 points per game. This week’s line is 46.5 points, while their average over/under line has been 49.9 points.

Vanderbilt’s offense is averaging 30.3 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 42nd in the nation. However, they rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is strong at 46%, and their passing game is led by Diego Pavia, who has a passer rating of 106, ranking 18th nationally.

Pavia has thrown for 1,677 yards with 15 touchdowns and three interceptions, completing 62% of his passes. Vanderbilt is 18th in rushing attempts per game, averaging 149.7 yards on the ground. Sedrick Alexander leads the team with 440 rushing yards and five touchdowns, averaging 3 yards per carry.

Vanderbilt’s defense played a key role in their 17-7 win over Auburn, allowing just seven points. They limited Auburn to 88 rushing yards on 29 attempts and gave up 239 passing yards, allowing one passing touchdown.

For the season, Vanderbilt’s defense ranks 34th nationally, giving up 21 points per game. They are 30th in the country against the run, allowing 112.8 rushing yards per game on 29.3 attempts, which is the 16th fewest rushing attempts faced in the nation.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• South Carolina has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 30 points per game while allowing 14. The team also performed well, compared to the spread at 3-0.
• The Vanderbilt Commodores are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
• Through their last five games as the underdog, the Vanderbilt Commodores have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the South Carolina Gamecocks have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Free Pick

Vanderbilt has put together some impressive wins this season, and not a lot of people had them at 6-3 at this point in the season. However, they are facing off against a really tough South Carolina defense on Saturday. The Gamecocks are really good vs the run and give fits to opposing QBs. I’m taking South Carolina to win and cover on the road in this one.

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