San Jose State Spartans at Toledo Rockets Total Pick

San Jose State Spartans (1-2 SU, ATS 0-2) vs Toledo Rockets (1-1 SU, ATS 0-1)
Date: Saturday, September 16th
Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
TV: ESPN+
Point Spread: San Jose State +8.5/Toledo -8.5
Money Line: San Jose State +250/Toledo -322
Over/Under: 58.5

The San Jose State Spartans and Toledo Rockets matchup in a non-conference showdown at Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH. The over/under for this matchup is currently 58.5 while Toledo is favored by -8.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

San Jose State and Toledo did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, San Jose State has a record of 2-1. San Jose State also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 74 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

San Jose State Spartans Recent Form:

San Jose State’s first game of the season ended in a 59-3 win over Cal Poly. The Spartans will look to get off a to 2-0 start with this week’s matchup vs. Toledo.

The Spartans’ finished with 23 pass attempts, accumulating 205 yards and two scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 6.2 yards per carry and notched five rushing touchdowns.

In the game, Chevan Cordeiro not only threw for two touchdowns but also ran for one touchdown. He concluded with 205 passing yards and a completion rate of 71.4%.

Kairee Robinson carried the rushing load for San Jose State against Cal Poly, accumulating 124 yards on 16 attempts and finding the endzone two times. The team’s leading receiver was Charles Ross, who contributed one touchdown and caught two balls for 39 yards.

Against Cal Poly, the Spartans defense was excellent, giving up just 3 points on 169 yards allowed. Cal Poly’s passing game finished with 74 yards. Up-front, San Jose State gave up 2.9 yards per attempt.

Away Injury Report

Toledo Rockets Recent Form:

Heading into their second game of the season, the Rockets will be looking to move to 2-0 after their opening 71-3 win over Texas Southern.

In the passing game, the Rockets threw the ball 32 times for 371 and five scores. On the ground, they averaged 4.1 yards per carry and finished with five rushing touchdowns

In the win, quarterback DeQuan Finn wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 158.33 after completing 16 of 17 passes for 232 yards. He also added three touchdowns to his performance.

Peny Boone carried the rushing load for Toledo against Texas Southern, accumulating 39 yards on 6 attempts and finding the endzone three times. In the passing game, CC Ezirim finished with a team high 79 receiving yards while averaging 26.3 yards per reception.

Against Texas Southern, the Rockets’ defense was excellent, giving up just 3 points on 238 yards allowed. Texas Southern’s passing game finished with 97 yards. Up-front, Toledo gave up 3.5 yards per attempt.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• On the road, San Jose State has gone 1-2 vs. the spread.
• Toledo is 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
• Toledo’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as underdog is 4-6.
• San Jose State are 1-2 in their last three games as favorites.

Line Movement:

In the context of the current moneyline odds, San Jose State currently holds a 29% implied win probability, accompanied by a moneyline payout of +250. On the flip side, the Rockets’ implied win percentage is 76%, with a moneyline of -322. When the lines opened Toledo was the 7.5-point favorites at home. Subsequently, the oddsmakers adjusted the lines to favor them at -8.5. According to the oddsmakers, the initial over/under line for this game was set at 56. However, it has been bet up to its current line of 58.5, with the over now paying out at -110 and the under at -110.

Free Pick

I’m looking at the total for my pick in this game. I don’t see this being as high of a scoring game as the oddsmakers think. My pick for this matchup is to take the under.