Purdue vs Syracuse Analysis, Trends, Free Pick
Purdue Boilermakers vs Syracuse Orange
Date: Saturday, September 17th
Location: JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY
TV: ESPN2
Point Spread: Pur -1.5/Syr +1.5
Money Line: Boilermakers -116/Orange -108
Over/Under: 58.5
RECENT FORM
The Boilermakers head into this week’s game with an overall record of 1-1. However, they are
0-1 in Big Ten action. Last year, the Boilermakers were an above .500 team on the road, going
4-2. Across their last 3 road games, they had an ATS record of 2-1-0.
The Boilermakers head into this week’s game looking to pick up another win after they most
recently defeated Indiana State by a score of 56-0. In the win, Purdue completed 83.3% of their
30 passes, 4 of which resulted in touchdowns. The team ended the game with 3 rushing touchdowns,
along with a total of 232 yards on the ground.
Aidan O’Connell heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer
rating of 104.19. So far, he has completed 46 passes for a total of 567 yards. Charlie Jones
leads the team’s receiving corps with 21 catches for a total of 286 yards. The top option in the
run game for the team is Devin Mockobee, who has carried the ball 13 times for a total of 78
yards.
This year, Orange have an overall record of 2-0. In addition, they have also played well in
the Atlantic Coast, going 1-0. This year, Syracuse will look to play better at home, as they
finished the season with a below .500 record at 3-4. In their last 3 home games, they posted an
ATS mark of 3-4.
In their previous game, the Orange picked up a 48-14 home win over UConn. This was an
impressive victory as they were also the 23.5-point favorites. In the game, Syracuse finished
with 3 touchdowns through the air while throwing for 309 yards. The team ended the game with 3
rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 156 yards on the ground.
Heading into the matchup, Garrett Shrader has an overall passer rating of 146.79 on a total of
523 yards. Thus far, he has thrown for 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. So far, the team’s
leading receiver is running back Sean Tucker. For the season, he is averaging 10.1 yards per
reception for a total of 101 yards. In addition, Sean Tucker is the team’s leading running back,
with a total of 212 on 48 carries.
BETTING TRENDS
Over the Boilermakers last 10 games, they have a strong record of 7-3-0, while also going
7-3-0 against the spread. They maintained a positive scoring differential in these games by
averaging 34.7 per game and allowing 24.9. Their last 10 over-under record is 7-3-0.
Through their last 10 matchups, Syracuse has gone 4-6-0 straight up and 7-3-0 vs the spread.
On offense, the team averaged 25.6 points per game while allowing 26.6. Their over-under mark
(last 10) is 5-5-0.
Get our betting opinion on the Ole Miss at Georgia Tech 9/17/22 game
KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS
Heading into the game, the Boilermakers are ranked 27th in points per game.
In the passing game, the Boilermakers are currently one of the leading groups in the country,
at 322.5 yards per game through the air. This week, the Boilermakers will be facing a Syracuse
defense that finished 69th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 349.6 yards
per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
So far, the Purdue offense is averaging just 151.0 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 34.0 rush attempts per game (83rd). This week, the
Boilermakers will be facing a Syracuse defense that finished 60th in rush yards allowed per game.
Last year, they averaged 90.5 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.
Going into the game, the Boilermakers’ defensive unit is 43rd in the NCAA in points allowed
per game at 17.5.
Heading into the game, the Orange are ranked 37th in points per game.
So far, the Orange are averaging 275.0 yards per game through the air, placing them 44th in
the country. This week, the Orange will be facing a Purdue defense that finished 42nd in pass
yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 97.33 yards per game when facing top 25 pass
defenses.
Although Syracuse is ranked 18th in attempts per game, they are averaging just 182.0 rush
yards per contest. This output places them 53rd in the NCAA. This week, the Orange will be facing
a Purdue defense that finished 73rd in rush yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged
245.44 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.
The Orange will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 17th in points
allowed at 10.5 points per game allowed.
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