Penn State vs Auburn Total Play 9/17/22
Penn State Nittany Lions vs Auburn Tigers
Date: Saturday, September 17th
Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
TV: CBS
Point Spread: Penn St -3.0/Aub +3.0
Money Line: PSU -158/Auburn +128
Over/Under: 49.0
RECENT FORM
This season, the Nittany Lions hope to continue playing well against Big Ten teams, as are
1-0. Their overall record is 2-0. This year, Penn State will look to play better on the road, as
they finished the season with a below .500 record at 2-3. In their last 3 road games, they posted
an ATS mark of 2-3.
This week, the Nittany Lions will look to pick up another win, as they are coming off a 46-10
win over Ohio. With the 36-point victory, Penn State also covered the spread. The team finished
the game throwing for 3 touchdown passes. Overall, the Nittany Lions had 338 passing yards on a
completion percentage of 73.8%. The team ended the game with 3 rushing touchdowns, along with a
total of 234 yards on the ground.
The team’s leading quarterback is Sean Clifford, who comes into the game with a passer rating
of 104.62. Heading into this week’s game, he has a total of 495 passing yards. Through the air,
the team will be looking for a big game from leading receiver, Mitchell Tinsley. On the season,
he has caught 10 for 111 yards. The Nittany Lions have turned to running back Nicholas Singleton
a total of 19 times for a total of 201 rushing yards.
So far, the Tigers have an overall record of 2-0 and have not played a game in the SEC. Last
year, the Tigers were an above .500 team at home, going 4-3. Across their last 3 home games, they
had an ATS record of 1-2-0.
In their previous game, Auburn knocked off San Jose State by a score of 24-16. However,
despite the road win, the Tigers did not cover the spread, as they were 24.0-point favorites. To
finish the game, the Tigers had a yards per completion figure of 12.0 and a total of 168 yards
through the air. However, they did not come up with a touchdown pass through the air. The team
ended the game with 3 rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 210 yards on the ground.
Quarterback T.J. Finley comes in the game having completed 22 of 34 passes for a passer rating
of 63.24. Receiver Ja’Varrius Johnson heads into the game, as the team’s leader in receiving
yards, with a total of 158. The Nittany Lions have turned to running back Tank Bigsby a total of
29 times for a total of 198 rushing yards.
BETTING TRENDS
In their last 10 contests, the Nittany Lions have a straight up record of 4-6-0, while
covering the spread at a rate of 40.0%. The team’s average scoring differential was 5.0, as they
averaged 25.6 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 20.6. Their last 10
over-under record is 4-6-0.
Against the spread, the Tigers have gone 3-7-0 over their last 10 games. Straight up they have
a record of 4-6-0. Their last 10 over-under record comes in at 3-7-0. Auburn has an even scoring
differential in these games, averaging 23.4 points per game and allowing 23.4.
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KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS
Heading into the game, the Nittany Lions are ranked 35th in points per game.
In the passing game, the Nittany Lions are currently one of the leading groups in the country,
at 323.0 yards per game through the air. This week, the Nittany Lions will be facing an Auburn
defense that is ranked 131st in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 323.0
yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
So far, the Penn State offense is averaging just 166.0 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 33.0 rush attempts per game (92nd). This week, the Nittany
Lions will be facing an Auburn defense that is ranked 12th in rush yards allowed per game. So
far, they are averaging 98.0 yards per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.
Heading into the game, the Nittany Lions will hope for some improved play from their defense,
as they are currently 55th at 20.5 points per game allowed.
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Tigers will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 72nd in the NCAA in points scored.
This season, the Tigers have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 190.0
passing yards per game. This week, the Tigers will be facing a Penn State defense that is ranked
110th in pass yards allowed per game. This year, they are averaging 212.0 yards per game when
facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
On the ground, the Auburn offense is averaging 247.5 yards per game, good for 14th in the
country. This has come while ranking 48th in attempts at 39.5 per game. This week, the Tigers
will be facing a Penn State defense that is ranked 27th in rush yards allowed per game. So far,
they have noted face a defense ranked inside the top 50 rush defense.
Going into the game, the Tigers’ defensive unit is 42nd in the NCAA in points allowed per game
at 16.0.
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