Oregon State vs Arizona State Week 12 Betting Odds & Predictions
Oregon State Beavers (7-3 SU, ATS 8-2-0) vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (3-7 SU, ATS 4-6-0)
Date: Saturday, November 19th
Location: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
TV: ESN2
Point Spread: OSU -7.5/ASU +7.5 (Learn how you can get a FREE half point!)
Money Line: Beavers -289/Sun Devils +224
Over/Under: 55
RECENT FORM
This season, the Beavers have a 4-3 record in conference action, with an overall mark of 7-3. The Beavers have been favored in 7 games this season while posting an ATS mark of 8-2-0. Their average over-under betting line is 54.85 leading to an over-under record of 6-4-0.
In their last game, the Beavers are coming off a 38-10 win over California. In addition, they added an ATS win, as they were 11.5 favorites on the spread. In the game, Oregon State finished with two touchdowns through the air while throwing for 196 yards. The team ended the game with two rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 166 yards on the ground.
Quarterback Ben Gulbranson comes in the game having completed 88 of 142 passes for a passer rating of 91.93. Overall, he has a total of 1042 passing yards. Wide receiver Tre’Shaun Harrison has come up with the most production for the team, with a total of 571 receiving yards. The Beavers have turned to running back Damien Martinez a total of 121 times for a total of 729 rushing yards.
Heading into this week’s game, the Sun Devils have a record of 2-5 in Pac-12 play. Their overall record currently sits at 3-7. This season, the Sun Devils have been favored in 3 games while posting an ATS mark of 4-6-0. Their average over-under betting line is 56.4 leading to an over-under record of 4-6-0.
Arizona State is coming off a 10-point loss to Washington State by a score of 28-18. The Sun Devils entered the game as 9.5-point home underdogs, making this an ATS loss. In the win, Arizona State completed 54.5 of their 33 passes, 2 of which resulted in touchdowns. On the ground, the team ended with one rushing touchdown while averaging 3.6 yards per carry for a total of 121 yards.
Emory Jones heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer rating of 89.88 on a total of 1533 yards through the air. Elijhah Badger leads the team’s receiving corps with 58 catches for a total of 758 yards. The Beavers have turned to running back Xazavian Valladay a total of 178 times for a total of 986 rushing yards.
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BETTING TRENDS
In their last ten games, Oregon State has covered the spread at a rate of 70.0% while putting together a straight-up record of 7-3-0. The team’s average scoring differential was 10.4, as they averaged 32.0 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 21.6. Their last ten over-under record is 6-4-0.
When looking at their past five road matchups, Oregon State has an ATS record of 2-3-0 while averaging 25.8 per game. The team went 2-3-0 overall in these games.
Over their last ten games, the Sun Devils have struggled both straight up (3-7-0) as well as vs. the spread, going 4-6-0. The team averaged 27.1 points in these games while allowing 30.8. Their last ten over-under record is 4-6-0.
When looking at their past five home matchups, Arizona State has an ATS record of 2-3-0 while averaging 31.0 per game. The team went 2-3-0 overall in these games.
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KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS
Heading into the game, the Beavers are ranked 41st in points per game and could be in line for a big performance vs. an Arizona State defense that is allowing an average of 30.8 points per game.
One aspect of the game that could benefit an Oregon State offense that struggles to generate big plays in the passing attack is that they are facing off an Arizona State defense that has yet to generate a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. So far, the Sun Devils are just 153rd in sacks per game.
So far, the Oregon State offense is near the NCAA average in rushing, averaging 190.0 yards per game on the ground. This year, they have handed the ball off an average of 40.0 times per game, placing them 34th in the country. This week, the Beavers will be facing an Arizona State defense ranked 151st in rush yards allowed per game. This year, they have averaged 197.86 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Sun Devils will look to improve their offensive output, as they are ranked just 76th in the NCAA in points scored, averaging 25.7 points per game. Arizona State will be matched up against an Oregon State defense allowing an average of 21.6 points per game.
Although the Sun Devils have turned to the passing attack at a below-average rate this season, they have an opportunity to find success through the air vs. an Oregon State defense allowing teams to complete passes at a rate of 60.0%.
So far, the Arizona State offense is averaging just 130.8 yards per game on the ground. This production has come on an average of 32.2 rush attempts per game (107th). This week, the Sun Devils will be facing an Oregon State defense that is 14th in rush yards allowed per game. So far, they have averaged 104.0 yards per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.
Heading into the game, the Sun Devils will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they are currently 105th at 30.8 points per game allowed.
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