Oklahoma St vs. West Virginia Pick ATS: Can the Cowboys Bounce Back?

NCAA Football Week 6

Date/Time: Saturday, October 5th, 2024, 4:00PM (EST)

Where: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK.

TV: ESPN2

Betting Odds

Point Spread: WVU +4.5 / OKST -4.5

Moneyline: WVU +160 / OKST -190

Total: 66.5

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After a strong 3-0 start to the season, the Oklahoma State Cowboys have hit a rough patch, dropping consecutive games against ranked conference opponents. The Cowboys first lost to No. 12 Utah in a 22-19 contest that appeared closer than it actually was, and last week they were overwhelmed in a 42-20 blowout by No. 23 Kansas State. In that defeat, Oklahoma State turned the ball over multiple times and surrendered more than 550 yards, marking their worst defensive showing of the season. The Cowboys will look to bounce back this Saturday in a potentially favorable matchup as they host the West Virginia Mountaineers in Stillwater.

The Mountaineers enter this contest fresh off a bye week, having secured a hard-fought 32-28 victory over the Kansas Jayhawks in their previous outing. However, West Virginia is still searching for their first significant win of the season. Despite their recent success, there are doubts about the Mountaineers’ overall quality, as both their offense and defense have struggled with inconsistency. Given that the Mountaineers have lost 8 of their last 9 games against Oklahoma State, they enter this game as 4.5-point underdogs.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Analysis

The lofty 66.5-point total in this matchup is a reflection of the poor defensive performances by both teams. West Virginia ranks 106th in the FBS, allowing an average of 410 yards per game, while Oklahoma State has been even worse, surrendering 480 yards per game and ranking 129th nationally in total defense. Only a handful of teams have posted worse defensive numbers than the Cowboys so far this season.

Despite these defensive struggles, Oklahoma State’s offense has shown potential. Running back Ollie Gordon II, who had a slow start to the season, appears poised for a breakout performance against a vulnerable Mountaineers defense. Additionally, wide receiver De’Zhaun Stribling, returning from injury, is emerging as a key target in the Cowboys’ passing attack. On the other side, West Virginia’s offense has lacked firepower. Quarterback Garrett Greene has been inconsistent, and running back CJ Donaldson has struggled due to the Mountaineers frequently playing from behind. This lack of offensive balance could lead to more issues for West Virginia against Oklahoma State’s defense.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Trends

• West Virginia is 2-4 ATS in the last six games.
• West Virginia has hit the “over” in 9 of the last 12 games.
• West Virginia is 5-2 SU in the last seven games.
• West Virginia is 1-8 SU and 1-8 ATS in the last nine games against Oklahoma State.
• Oklahoma State is 11-4 SU in the last 15 games.
• Oklahoma State has hit the “over” in 6 of the last nine games.
• Oklahoma State is 7-1 SU in the last eight home games.
• Oklahoma State has hit the “under” in 4 of the last five meetings against West Virginia.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Prediction

Oklahoma State appears to be the superior team in this matchup by a significant margin. Assuming their defense can avoid a repeat of last week’s poor performance, the Cowboys should handle the Mountaineers without much difficulty. Expect Oklahoma State to cover the spread with relative ease in this one.

Jay’s Pick: Take Oklahoma State -4.5