Oklahoma at Auburn Point Spread Pick for Week 5

Oklahoma Sooners (3-1 SU, ATS 2-2) vs Auburn Tigers (2-2 SU, ATS 1-2)

Date: 3:30 EST Saturday, September 28th

Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL

TV: ABC

Point Spread: OU -2.5/AU +2.5 (You only have to lay -105 odds at BAS Sportsbook! All games!)

Money Line: Okl -133/Aub +109

Over/Under: 46.5

ABC will be covering this week five matchup between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Auburn Tigers, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn. The over/under line is at 46.5 points, and the Sooners are the slight -2.5-point favorites on the road. Oklahoma comes in with a 3-1 record, while Auburn is 2-2 on the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Last season, the Oklahoma Sooners and Auburn Tigers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Auburn Tigers have the leg up at 2-1. Against the spread, each team went 1-2 and finished with an over/under mark of 1-2. These games averaged a combined 45 points per contest.

Oklahoma Sooners Recent Form:

Oklahoma is looking to bounce back after a 25-15 loss to Tennessee in their most recent game. The Sooners, who were +5.5 point underdogs, not only fell short of the upset but also failed to cover the spread. The over/under line for the game was 56.5 points, but the teams combined for just 40 points, resulting in the under hitting. Oklahoma is now 3-1 for the season.

The Sooners fell behind early, with Tennessee taking a 10-3 lead in the first quarter. Oklahoma’s offense struggled in the second quarter, resulting in a 19-3 deficit at halftime. The Sooners added just a field goal in the third quarter, and while they outscored Tennessee 12-3 in the fourth, it wasn’t enough to pull off the comeback.

Oklahoma’s offense struggled in their 25-15 loss to Tennessee, finishing with just 224 total yards. The Sooners managed to pick up 16 first downs but were ineffective on the ground, gaining only 38 rushing yards on 35 attempts. Their lone rushing touchdown came from Michael Hawkins Jr., who also led the team in rushing with 22 yards on 12 carries.

In the passing game, Hawkins Jr. completed 11 of 18 passes for 132 yards and a touchdown, earning a passer rating of 102.08. Jaquaize Pettaway was his top target, hauling in three receptions for 79 yards.

Oklahoma’s defense will be looking to tighten up after giving up 359 total yards in their most recent game. The Sooners allowed 194 passing yards on 13 completions, with the secondary giving up one touchdown. On the ground, they allowed 165 rushing yards on 49 attempts, including one rushing touchdown.

Away Injury Report

Auburn Tigers Recent Form:

After being favored by -2.5 points, Auburn suffered a 24-14 loss to Arkansas, evening their record at 2-2 for the season. The Tigers’ defeat also led to an ATS loss, and the game’s total score of 38 points fell short of the 53.5-point over/under line.

Auburn’s offense struggled early, resulting in a 7-0 deficit at halftime. The Tigers managed to tie the game at 7-7 in the third quarter, but Arkansas outscored them 10-7 in the fourth quarter to secure the win.

In Auburn’s 24-14 loss to Arkansas, the Tigers’ offense put up 431 yards, with 285 yards coming through the air. Payton Thorne, who completed 13 of 22 passes (59.1%) for 213 yards, threw two touchdowns and one interception, ending the game with a passer rating of 103.03. KeAndre Lambert-Smith was the top receiver, catching five passes for 156 yards.

On the ground, Auburn rushed for 146 yards, with Jarquez Hunter leading the team with 67 yards on 12 carries. The Tigers’ offense moved the chains 17 times but struggled with turnovers, as Thorne and the other quarterbacks combined for four interceptions.

Auburn’s defense struggled to contain Arkansas’ ground game, giving up 191 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Overall, they allowed 342 total yards and 24 points. The Tigers’ pass defense was more effective, holding Arkansas to 151 yards on 12 completions. Despite this, they still allowed one passing touchdown while intercepting two passes.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Through their last three road games, Oklahoma has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 29 points per game.
• Through their last five home games, Auburn has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 24 points per game.
• As the betting underdog, the Auburn Tigers have an ATS mark of just 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Auburn posted a straight up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
• As the betting favorite, the Oklahoma Sooners have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Free Pick

This one figures to be one of the top matchups of the week in college football, as Oklahoma is the slight favorite on the road in Auburn on Saturday. The major edge that Oklahoma has is their defense, and Auburn’s offense has really struggled when playing anyone decent, putting up just 14 points vs California and Arkansas. For this matchup, I’m taking Oklahoma to go into Auburn and pick up a win while covering the spread.