Ohio State at Michigan Pick ATS – Public Taking the Points

Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) at Michigan Wolverines (11-0, 5-5-1 ATS), 11/25/23

When: Noon ET Saturday, Nov. 25

Where: Michigan Stadium

TV: Fox

CFB Betting Odds: OSU +3.5/Mich -3.5

Money Line: Ohio St. +145/Big Blue -175

Over/Under: 46.5

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The Game of the Year in the Big 10 features Ohio State and Michigan, who meet for the 119th time on Saturday afternoon at the Big House. Both teams are 11-0 overall and 8-0 in the Big 10, occupying the No. 2 and 3 spots in this week’s College Football Playoff rankings. This game is poised to be a deciding factor for a berth in the CFP.

The Buckeyes have historically dominated this rivalry, but the Wolverines have won the last two meetings. Here’s our analysis for the Big Game with our free CFB betting pick:

College Football Betting Odds

The Week 13 college football betting market opened with Michigan at -3.5 over Ohio State, with an over/under of around 46.5. According to Sagarin’s ratings, the line on this game should be 2.5 points.

Ohio State-Michigan Betting Preview

Ohio State reached 11-0 by defeating Minnesota 37-3 last Saturday. Despite only leading 13-0 at halftime, the Buckeyes surged in the second half to secure the victory and cover the spread. They out-gained the Gophers 434-159.

Michigan also reached 11-0 with a 31-24 win over Maryland last week. Despite being favored by 17 points, Michigan allowed Maryland to close the gap to 29-24 before pulling away for the win, failing to cover the spread. The Wolverines generated 291 yards of offense and held Maryland to 262.

Both teams are tied for the lead in the Big 10 East, making this game critical for a berth in the conference championship and potentially the CFP.

Common Opponents

Ohio State and Michigan both played seven common Big 10 opponents this season. The Buckeyes were 7-0 SU, 5-1-1 ATS, and +179 YPG against these teams, while the Wolverines were 7-0 SU, 4-2-1 ATS, and +164 YPG.

Ohio State-Michigan Recent History

While Ohio State dominated most of the century, Michigan has won the last two matchups, including a 42-27 victory two years ago and a 45-23 win last year at the Horseshoe.

College Football Betting Trends

The underdog is 7-2 ATS over the last nine meetings between these teams.

Totals Report

The Unders are 9-2 in Buckeyes games this season, averaging 43 total points. The totals in Wolverines games are split 5-5-1, averaging 47 points. The Overs are 9-0 over the last nine meetings between these teams.

Free College Football Betting Pick

Considering Coach Harbaugh’s absence from the sidelines, we believe it won’t significantly impact Michigan’s performance. The Wolverines’ strong running game and defense are key advantages. Given their victory in last year’s matchup and current form, we favor Michigan. Our pick: Take Michigan -3.5.