Northern Illinois vs. Miami OH: Week 13 College Football Picks and Predictions

Northern Illinois Huskies (6-4 SU, ATS 4-3-1)  vs Miami (OH) RedHawks (6-4 SU, ATS 4-5)
Date: 8:00 EST Tuesday, November 19th
Location: Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: NIU +3/MU -3
Money Line: NIU +120/MU  -143
Over/Under: 41.5

Yager Stadium in Oxford will be the site for this week 13 matchup between the Northern Illinois Huskies and Miami (OH) RedHawks. The game is set for Tuesday, November 19th, with a 8:00 ET kickoff on ESPN. Both teams enter this game with a 6-4 record for the season. The over/under line is at 41.5 points, and Miami (OH) is the -3 point favorite at home. The current money line odds are +120 for the Huskies and -143 for the RedHawks.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The Northern Illinois Huskies and Miami (OH) RedHawks did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Northern Illinois Huskies have a record of 3-0. Against the spread, each team went 1-2 and finished with an over/under mark of 2-0-1. These games averaged a combined 66 points per contest.

Northern Illinois Huskies Recent Form:

Northern Illinois enters Week 13 against Miami (OH) with a 6-4 record, ranked 85th in our power rankings. They are guaranteed bowl eligibility but have no chance of winning the Mid-American title. On the road, they are 3-2, while their home record stands at 2-1.

The Huskies have been favored in five of their ten games, going 3-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +7.3 points per game, and they are 4-3-1 against the spread. On the road, they are 4-1 ATS but have gone 0-2-1 at home.

This week’s over/under line is 41.5 points. Northern Illinois games have averaged 44.3 points, with their average line at 45.6 points. They are 4-4 against the over/under, with an average margin of -4.1 points.

Northern Illinois has leaned heavily on their ground game this season, ranking 9th in the nation with 42.2 rushing attempts per game. They are averaging 221 rushing yards per game, placing them 11th in the country. Gavin Williams leads the team with 631 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns.

Overall, the Huskies are 64th in scoring, averaging 25.8 points per game, and are ranked 96th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Quarterback Ethan Hampton has thrown for 1,361 yards with 12 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 91.

Northern Illinois’ defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 15th nationally by allowing just 18.5 points per game. They’ve also limited opponents to 115.7 rushing yards per game and 170.1 passing yards, which is the 17th-lowest in the country. Quarterbacks have managed just a 54% completion rate against them, ranking Northern Illinois 16th in that category.

In their recent game against Akron, Northern Illinois’ defense gave up only 16 points and 256 total yards. They held Akron to 51 rushing yards on 23 attempts and allowed 205 passing yards on 19 completions from 52 attempts.

Away Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Miami (OH) RedHawks Recent Form:

Miami (OH) enters Week 13 with a 6-4 record, and they are 3-1 at home this season. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible, and they have a 21.7% chance of winning the Mid-American title. The RedHawks are ranked 78th in our CFB power rankings.

Miami (OH) is 5-0 as the favorite this season, but they are 0-4 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +5.6 points per game, and they are 4-5 against the spread.

The RedHawks’ over/under record is 4-4-1, with an average line of 45.3 points. This week’s total is set at 41.5 points, and their games have averaged 43 points per contest.

Heading into week 13, Miami (OH) is averaging 24.3 points per game, placing them 70th in the nation. Our offensive power rankings have them 94th. They have struggled on third downs, converting only 33.3% of their attempts, which ranks 111th nationally. On the ground, they are averaging 142.1 rushing yards per game.

Brett Gabbert leads the RedHawks’ passing attack with 2,148 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has thrown seven interceptions and holds a passer rating of 92. Keyon Mozee has rushed for 846 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Reggie Virgil leads the receiving corps with 598 yards and seven touchdowns.

Miami’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 17th nationally by allowing just 18.7 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 184 passing yards per game, which is the 32nd-lowest in the country, and quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of only 69 against them, the 15th-lowest in college football.

In their recent game, Miami’s defense gave up just seven points and 194 total yards. They limited Kent State to 101 rushing yards on 37 attempts and 93 passing yards while also forcing an interception.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Northern Illinois Huskies have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 28 points per game in this stretch.
• In their last five games at home, the Miami (OH) RedHawks have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 18 points per game in this stretch.
• As the betting underdog, the Northern Illinois Huskies have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Northern Illinois posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
• Through their last five games as the favorite, the Miami (OH) RedHawks have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Free Pick

Both of these teams are 6-4 heading into this one and are set for a showdown at Yager Stadium on Tuesday. Right now, this number is sitting at -3 in favor of Miami (OH), and I really like their chances to not only pick up a win but cover the spread. To kick of this week’s of action, I’m going big on the RedHawks to cover.

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