North Texas vs Tulane Pick – Who gets the Green?

North Texas Mean Green (3-3 SU, ATS 3-2) vs Tulane Green Wave (5-1 SU, ATS 3-2)

Date: Saturday, October 21st

Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA

TV: ESN2

Point Spread: NT +20/Tul -20 (Be smart! Bet at reduced odds!)

Money Line: North Texas +792/Tulane -1437

Over/Under: 61.5

The North Texas Mean Green and Tulane Green Wave matchup in an American Athletic showdown at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, LA. The over/under for this matchup is currently 61.5, while Tulane is favored by -20.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, North Texas has gone 3-0. Despite their straight-up record, Tulane went 2-1 vs. the spread. Together, the teams averaged 72 points, leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

North Texas Mean Green Recent Form:

North Texas reached a .500 record after securing a win over Temple in their most recent game. The Mean Green are now focused on this week’s matchup, carrying a 3-3 record into it.

The over/under line going into the game was 66.5 points, which the teams fell short of. North Texas picked up an ATS win as they were favored by 9.5.

Chandler Rogers finished with a passer rating of 122.49 while throwing for 307 yards vs. Temple. He ended the game with 39 passing attempts and completed 64.1% of his passes.

Oscar Adaway III carried the rushing load for North Texas against Temple, accumulating 94 yards on 7 attempts and finding the endzone one time. The team’s top receiver was Ja’Mori Maclin, who hauled in two touchdowns and caught six balls for 163 yards.

On defense, North Texas finished their game against Temple by giving up a total of 347 yards. Temple threw the ball 30 times for 105 vs. North Texas. While on the ground, the Mean Green gave up 242 rushing yards. North Texas’ defense sits at 114th for points allowed, allowing 35.5 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 204.5 passing yards per game against them (56th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 255.3 rushing yards, ranking them 176th in college football.

Away Injury Report

Tulane Green Wave Recent Form:

Tulane’s 31-21 victory against Memphis has put their record at 5-1 as they gear up for this week’s clash with North Texas.

Tulane was favored by 5 heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The under hit in the game, as the team’s combined for 52 with an over/under line of 54.5.

Quarterback Michael Pratt finished with 259 passing yards in the team’s most recent win over Memphis. Not only did he throw for one touchdown but he ran for one score.

The top rusher for Tulane against Memphis was Makhi Hughes. He gained 130 rushing yards and scored one time in 26 attempts. In the passing game, Chris Brazzell II finished with a team high 103 receiving yards while averaging 34.3 yards per reception.

The Green Wave’s defense finished the game by giving up 366 total yards to Memphis. The team’s run defense allowed 45 yards rushing compared to 321 in the passing game. Ranked 75th in passing yards allowed per game, Tulane’s defense gets ready to take on North Texas. Opponents have attempted an average of 35 passes per game against the Green Wave. They’re allowing 18 points per contest, placing them 51st in college football. Their rush defense ranks 11th in the NCAA.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• North Texas is 6-4 in their last ten games road games.
• Tulane is 5-0 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
• Looking back at the last five times Tulane went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 4-1.
• When favored, North Texas has gone 6-4 vs. the spread (last 10).

Free Pick

Tulane’s defense, particularly against the run, stands out as one of the best in the nation. They are only allowing 2.6 yards per rush and a mere 80.8 rush yards per game. Given that North Texas leans on its running game, accounting for 50% of their plays, Tulane’s defensive line could very well be a thorn in the Mean Green’s side. Stopping the run effectively will force North Texas into more passing situations, where Tulane also holds statistical advantages. Can that lead to a 20 plus point win? I’m banking on it.