North Texas Mean Green vs. Wyoming Cowboys Prediction & Best Bet

Where: DATCU Stadium (Dallas, TX)

When: Saturday, September 21st at 7:00 PM EST

Watch: ESPN+

Betting Odds

North Texas -9.0

Over/Under 55.5

Game Overview: Wyoming Cowboys vs North Texas Mean Green

The winless Wyoming Cowboys will head to Dallas, Texas this weekend to take the field against the 2-1 North Texas Mean Green. This game features contrasting styles, and both teams are hoping to impose their game plan. There are some key injuries that may influence the outcome, but ultimately, it will come down to execution on both sides of the ball. Wyoming and North Texas are both coming off losses and are looking to bounce back in week 4.

Wyoming Cowboys: Offensive and Defensive Struggles

Wyoming enters this contest with a winless 0-3 record and has failed to cover the spread in any of those losses. Their unexpected defeat at the hands of Idaho, where they were 7.5-point favorites, showcased the team’s struggles. While their losses to Arizona State and BYU were more predictable, as less than 10-point underdogs in both, expectations were much higher for the Cowboys this season.

Offensively, Wyoming has been terrible. Quarterback Evan Svoboda’s struggles are evident in his 42.9% completion rate, with just 308 passing yards, 3 interceptions, and only 1 touchdown. The passing offense ranks 242nd nationally. Their ground game hasn’t been any better, as starting running back DJ Jones has averaged only 46.7 yards per game with a poor 2.9 yards per carry.

The defense, while the team’s stronger side, isn’t much to boast about either. They rank 157th against the pass and 174th against the run. The only bright spot is their ability to hold opponents to a 28.2% conversion rate on third downs, but the defense has been on the field far too long.

North Texas Mean Green: High-Powered Passing Offense

On the opposite side, North Texas boasts one of the top passing offenses in the nation, averaging 328.7 yards per game—ranking 14th in the country. Led by QB Chandler Morris, North Texas has already scored 9 touchdowns through the air, though Morris’s 6 interceptions reveal his occasional recklessness with the ball.

Wide receivers Damon Ward and DT Sheffield are Morris’s go-to targets, accounting for half of the team’s receiving yards and touchdowns. However, Ward’s injury last week may be a significant factor if he can’t play. Running back Damashja Harris leads North Texas’s ground game with an impressive 8.4 yards per carry, despite sharing touches with other backs and QB Morris.

Defensively, North Texas has struggled, particularly against the pass, giving up 322.3 yards per game through the air and 149.7 yards on the ground. Their defense will look to rebound after giving up 66 points to Texas Tech, and they should benefit from facing a sluggish Wyoming offense.

Betting Pick: North Texas -9.0

My Pick: North Texas Mean Green -9.0 (-110)

I love North Texas in this spot, coming off a tough road loss to Texas Tech. The Mean Green are 1-0 at home and have a favorable matchup against Wyoming’s struggling offense. Although North Texas’s defense isn’t elite, Wyoming’s offensive woes will likely prevent them from applying any real pressure. North Texas can score at will and will rely on running back Damashja Harris to control the clock in the latter stages of the game. While I lean towards the under in this contest, everything points to a comfortable win for the Mean Green.