Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Pick

Miami Hurricanes (4-1 SU, ATS 3-1) vs North Carolina Tar Heels (5-0 SU, ATS 4-0)

Date: Saturday, October 14th

Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

TV: ABC

Point Spread: Mia +3.5/UNC -3.5 (Get a 75% bonus at the web’s best bookie –> Bovada!)

Money Line: Mia +146/NC -178

Over/Under: 56.5

The Miami Hurricanes and North Carolina Tar Heels matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill, NC. The over/under for this matchup is currently 56.5 while North Carolina is favored by -3.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

North Carolina currently holds the bragging rights over Miami as in their most recent head-to-head matchup, they won 27-24. This game featured plenty of action in the passing game. North Carolina finished with 309 passing yards, while Miami ended the game with 496 yards of their own.

Miami Hurricanes Recent Form:

Miami’s overall record dropped to 4-1 after their most recent loss to Georgia Tech. The Hurricanes lost the game by a score of 23-20.

The pre-game over/under line for this matchup was 57 points, which the teams fell short of. Miami not only lost straight-up but didn’t cover the spread as 19.5-point favorites.

In their previous game, quarterback Tyler Van Dyke attempted 36 passing attempts against Georgia Tech. He finished with 288 passing yards and a completion rate of 66.7%. Additionally, he threw three interceptions during the loss.

Donald Chaney Jr. carried the ball 24 times against Georgia Tech and led the team in rushing with 106 yards, but he couldn’t find the endzone on the ground during the game. For the game, Xavier Restrepo hauled in 12 receptions for a total of 123 yards which led the team.

On defense, Miami finished their game against Georgia Tech, by giving up a total of 250 yards. Georgia Tech threw the ball 25 times for 151 vs. Miami. While on the ground, the Hurricanes gave up 99 rushing yards. Miami’s defense ranks 37th in points allowed, with 14.6 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 210.2 passing yards against them (66th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 58.2 rushing yards, putting them 5th in college football.

Away Injury Report

North Carolina Tar Heels Recent Form:

Before their upcoming game with Miami, the North Carolina Tar Heels boast a perfect record of 5-0. In their most recent game, they secured a 40-7 victory over Syracuse.

Looking at the point-spread for this game, North Carolina covered as 9.5-point favorites. While on the over/under, the betting line was 59 at game time, resulting in a hit for the under.

Drake Maye had a passer rating of 121.05 while throwing for 442 against Syracuse. He attempted 47 passes and achieved a completion percentage of 70.2% during the game.

Finishing the game with 78 yards on the ground, Omarion Hampton led North Carolina in rushing against Syracuse. However, he did not run for a touchdown in the game. Leading North Carolina in receiving against Syracuse was Nate McCollum. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 135 yards on seven receptions.

Against Syracuse, the Tar Heels defense was excellent against Syracuse, giving up just 7 points on 222 yards allowed. Syracuse’s passing game finished with 129 yards. Up-front, North Carolina gave up 3.4 yards per attempt. This season, the Tar Heels’ defense has yielded an average of 118.6 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 149th. Opponents have an average of 216.8 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 59.7 when facing North Carolina. They are currently 81st in points allowed in NCAA rankings.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Miami’s three most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 2-1 against the spread.
• North Carolina is 3-2 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
• In the three most recent times they were the underdog, North Carolina has put together an ATS record of 2-1.
• When favored, Miami has gone 2-8 vs. the spread (last 10).

Free Pick

Overall, I think Miami has a good chance of covering the spread in this game. They have several key advantages (defensive efficiency, yards per point and yards per rush), and they are motivated to bounce back from a tough loss.