Miami Hurricanes vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction ATS

Miami Hurricanes (6-2 SU, ATS 3-2) vs NC State Wolfpack (5-3 SU, ATS 3-4)

Date: Saturday, November 4th

Location: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC

TV: ACCN

Point Spread: Mia -4.5/NCST +4.5 (Bovada Sportsbook is the BEST! See why!)

Money Line: Canes -190/Pack +153

Over/Under: 45

The Miami Hurricanes and NC State Wolfpack matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, NC. The over/under for this matchup is currently 45, while Miami is favored by -4.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The previous three head-to-head matchups have gone in favor of Miami with a record of 2-1. Miami and NC State did not play last season. Miami also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 54 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

Miami Hurricanes Recent Form:

Miami’s 29-26 win against Virginia has propelled their record to 6-2 as they prepare for this week’s showdown with NC State.

With their 55 combined points, Miami and Virginia surpassed the over/under line of 47.5. Although Miami won straight-up, it wasn’t enough to cover at -19.

In their previous game, quarterback Tyler Van Dyke attempted 30 passing attempts against Virginia. He finished with 163 passing yards and a completion rate of 66.7%. Additionally, he threw two interceptions during the win.

Ajay Allen emerged as the primary rusher for Miami against Virginia. He rushed for 67 yards and scored one time in 11 attempts. Leading Miami in receiving against Virginia was Xavier Restrepo. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 48 yards on three receptions.

Defensively, Miami allowed a total of 377 yards to Virginia. This includes giving up 138 yards allowed on the ground and 239 passing yards. Coming into this week’s game, the Miami defense is 71st in points allowed at 20 points per game. So far, teams have averaged 234.6 passing yards per game vs. the unit (106th). On the ground, they are giving up 86.9 rushing yards, putting them 13th in college football.

Away Injury Report

NC State Wolfpack Recent Form:

NC State’s 24-17 win over Clemson moved their record to 5-3 as they head into this week’s matchup with Miami.

Combining for 41 points, the Under hit in this matchup with a closing line of 44.5. NC State covered the spread, as they were 10-point underdogs going into the game.

In the win against Clemson, quarterback MJ Morris wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 110.0 after completing 11 of 20 passes for 138 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Kevin Concepcion carried the ball two times against Clemson and led the team in rushing with 51 yards, but he couldn’t find the endzone on the ground during the game. Along with his work out of the backfield, Kevin Concepcion finished the game with 83 on five receptions.

NC State’s defense gave up 364 yards of offense vs. Clemson. In the passing game, they allowed 263 yards, while on the ground, they gave up 101 yards. NC State’s defense ranks 83rd in points allowed, with 22.8 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 227.1 passing yards against them (91st nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 110 rushing yards, putting them 32nd in college football.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Miami’s ten most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 4-6 against the spread.
• At home, NC State has gone 1-4 against the spread (last five).
• NC State is 2-1 in their last three games as underdogs.
• Over their last three games as the betting favorite, Miami has an ATS record of 1-2.

Free Pick

Both teams are coming off wins in their previous game, and Miami is favored by 4.5 on the road. Even though NC State is riding high after their win over Clemson, I’m counting on Miami to take care of business. Look for the Hurricanes’ offense to have a big game as they cover at -4.5.