Memphis vs. Tulane Betting Pick: Can Tigers Cover +14?

Memphis Tigers (9-2 SU, ATS 4-5-1)  vs Tulane Green Wave (9-2 SU, ATS 8-2)
Date: 7:30 EST Thursday, November 28th
Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: UM +14/TU -14
Money Line: UM +403/TU  -563
Over/Under: 55.5

ESPN will be covering the week 14 matchup between the Memphis Tigers and Tulane Green Wave, set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Yulman Stadium in New Orleans. Tulane comes in with a 9-2 record this season and is favored by -14 points over Memphis, who also sits at 9-2. The over/under line is currently at 55.5 points for this Thanksgiving night matchup.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The Memphis Tigers and Tulane Green Wave did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Memphis Tigers have a record of 3-0. The Memphis Tigers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 78 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

Memphis Tigers Recent Form:

Memphis enters Week 14 with a 9-2 record, but they have no chance of winning the American Athletic Conference. However, they are guaranteed to be bowl-eligible. The Tigers are 6-0 at home this season and 2-2 on the road.

Memphis has been favored in nine of their 11 games, going 7-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +12.6 points per game, and their ATS record stands at 4-5-1.

The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points. Memphis games have averaged 57.9 points, with their over/under record at 5-5 and an average margin of +1.8 points against the line.

Memphis ranks 18th in points per game, averaging 35.3, and they are 24th in passing yards, with 273.1 per game. They are 11th in both passing attempts and completions. Seth Henigan has thrown for 2,990 yards, 21 touchdowns, and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 95, which matches the team’s overall rating.

Memphis is 57th in our offensive power rankings heading into this week. They convert 43.4% of their third downs and rank 36th in completion percentage at 63.7%. Mario Anderson Jr. leads the rushing attack with 1,115 yards and 16 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Roc Taylor has 738 receiving yards on 54 catches.

Memphis’ defense has been solid this season, ranking 37th nationally by allowing 22.6 points per game. They are 23rd in the country against the run, giving up just 110.5 rushing yards per game on the 8th fewest rushing attempts in the nation.

In their recent game against UAB, Memphis allowed 18 points, giving up 364 total yards, including 190 rushing yards and 174 passing yards.

Away Injury Report

Tulane Green Wave Recent Form:

Tulane enters Week 14 with a 9-2 record, ranked 17th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and hold an 80.7% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference. The Green Wave also have a 25.2% shot at making the College Football Playoff.

They are 3-1 at home and 5-1 on the road this season. Tulane has been favored in eight of their 11 games and is 8-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +23.5 points, and they have an 8-2 record against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points. Tulane’s games have averaged 57.5 points, with an average over/under line of 54.2 points. Their over/under record is 6-4, with their games exceeding the line by an average of 3.8 points.

Heading into week 14, Tulane’s offense ranks 4th in the nation in scoring, averaging 40.5 points per game. They are also 9th in rushing, with 228.8 yards per game on 43.6 attempts, which ranks 6th nationally. Makhi Hughes leads the ground attack with 1,291 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns.

Quarterback Darian Mensah has thrown for 2,197 yards and 18 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 115. Tulane ranks 2nd in the country in third-down conversions, converting 52.2% of their attempts. They are 23rd in our offensive power rankings heading into this week.

Tulane’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 10th in the nation by allowing just 17 points per game. They’ve given up 117.5 rushing yards per game on 27.8 attempts, which is the 7th fewest attempts faced in the country. Through the air, Tulane’s defense has allowed 177.1 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks managing a passer rating of just 62.7, the 6th lowest in the nation.

In their recent game against Navy, Tulane’s defense was dominant, allowing only eight first downs and 114 total yards in a 35-0 win. Navy ran the ball 34 times but gained just 101 yards, while Tulane’s secondary gave up only 13 passing yards on three completions and came away with an interception.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• In their last five road games, Memphis has averaged 31 points per game while allowing 28. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
• When looking at their past three matchups at home, Tulane has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 38 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
• As the betting underdog, the Memphis Tigers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Memphis posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Tulane Green Wave have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.

Free Pick

Even though both squads come into this one with 9-2 records, Tulane is a huge favorite heading into Thursday night’s matchup. Tulane is certainly the more well-rounded team and is undefeated in the conference. However, this AAC showdown is closer than the oddsmakers think. Tulane should come out on top in this one, but I think getting Memphis at +14 is a steal.

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