No. 8 LSU vs. No. 14 Texas A&M: Week 9 College Football Predictions

No. 8 LSU Tigers (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) vs. No. 14 Texas A&M Aggies (6-1 SU, 2-5 ATS)

NCAA Football Week 9

Date/Time: Saturday, October 26th, 2024, 7:30PM (EST)

Where: Kyle Field College Station, TX

TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: LSU +3/A&M -3

Moneyline: Louisiana St. +125/TAMU -145

Total: 53.5

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One of the marquee games this week in the Southeastern Conference will take place in College Station when the no. 14 Texas A&M Aggies host the no. 8 LSU Tigers at Kyle Field. As things currently stand, the Tigers and Aggies are the only unbeaten teams in the SEC, meaning this week’s winner will take sole position of the top spot in the conference. The Aggies suffered an opening loss to Notre Dame in week 1 but have rattled off six consecutive wins, including a blowout victory over no. 9 Missouri. Still, Texas A&M is largely viewed as an untested threat in the SEC, and the Aggies will have a chance to change that narrative this Saturday.

The visiting Tigers have taken a similar path in 2024 as the Aggies. LSU lost their opener against USC but have also rattled off six consecutive victories. However, many could argue that LSU’s schedule thus far has been far superior with big wins over South Carolina and no. 9 Ole Miss. Last week, LSU was a mere 3-point favorite on the road in Fayetteville but completely destroyed Arkansas in a 34-10 victory. LSU’s offense was able to control the line of scrimmage and the ground attack to beat Arkansas in the time-of-possession battle by nearly 20 minutes of play. In many ways, it was the best that LSU had looked all season, and they will enter this Saturday’s highly contested affair against Texas A&M with some much-needed momentum!

LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Analysis

On paper and in reality, the two teams are very similar and equally talented. While LSU struggled earlier in the year on the defensive side of the football, they have played much better in recent weeks. More importantly, the Tigers could really improve the quality of their defensive play by continuing to run the football well. Meanwhile, the Aggies have played strong defense throughout the season and have allowed just 325 yards per game. While some would argue the schedule has some performance bias, the Aggies have also been very solid against the run, allowing just 116 yards per game, and that will be an important component to this week’s match-up against LSU.

On the offensive side of the football, both of these units want to establish the ground game and control the football. Texas A&M RB Le’Veon Moss is a difference maker who is averaging over 6 yards per carry and has the ability to disrupt this LSU defense. With that said, I believe LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier is the biggest difference-maker on both sides of the football. Nussmeier has already thrown for 2,222 yards and produced 18 touchdowns with six picks. This LSU offense has a ton of talent in the receiving corps, and that is where I see the biggest disadvantage for Texas A&M this week. When you compare the fact that Texas A&M continues to struggle with consistency at the quarterback position, this looks like a match-up where LSU will eventually prevail based on their ability to move the football through the air.

LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends

• LSU is 6-0 SU in the last six games.
• LSU has hit the “under” in four of the last five games.
• LSU has hit the “over” in six of the last seven games on the road.
• LSU is 12-1 ATS in the last 13 games against Texas A&M.
• Texas A&M is 6-0 SU in the last six games.
• Texas A&M is 2-8 ATS in the last ten games.
• Texas A&M has hit the “over” in four of the last six games.
• Texas A&M is 6-1 SU in the last seven games at home.

LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Prediction

Again, I believe this is a very close match-up both stylistically and from a talent perspective, so I would not condone any outrageous size wagers. With that said, I lean towards LSU having the better overall team and appears to be playing better football with each passing week. For that reason, I will take LSU to get the victory in hostile territory.

Jay’s Pick: Take LSU +3

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