LSU Tigers (6-0) -9, o/u no line vs. Kentucky Wildcats (5-1) 3:30 p.m. Eastern, Saturday, October 13, 2007 on CBS.
by Jerald of Predictem.com
The LSU Tigers will meet the Kentucky Wildcats in this SEC showdown. The game will feature LSUs dominant defense against a very explosive Kentucky offense.
LSU has won the last 4 meetings between these teams but the last 2 games played in Kentucky were won by a total of 7 points. Kentuckys last win against LSU came in 1999.
LSU is led by Senior QB Matt Flynn who has completed 55.4% of his passes for 817 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Ryan Perrilloux has also played significantly and has thrown for 402 yards and 6 touchdowns.
Kentucky is led by Senior QB Andre Woodson who has completed 65.2% of his passes for 1,536 yards, 18 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
LSU ranks 33rd in total offense with an average of 227.3 yards rushing (5.03 yards per rush) and 204.7 yards passing per game. They rank 16th in scoring offense averaging 37.8 points per game. The Wildcats offense ranks 13th in total offense averaging 212.5 yards rushing (5.5 yards per carry) and 261.7 yards passing. Kentucky ranks 9th in scoring offense averaging 42.7 points per game.
The Tigers defense ranks 1st in total defense giving up an average of 58.5 yards rushing (1.92 yards per carry) and 139.3 yards passing per game. They rank 2nd in scoring defense giving up an average of 9.3 points per game. Kentucky ranks 64th in total defense giving up 183.7 yards rushing (4.63 yards per carry) and 194.0 yards passing. They rank 56th in scoring defense giving up 24.7 points per game.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Tigers 2nd at 95.11. Kentucky ranks 21st at 81.21.
LSU opened up as a 9.5 point favorite. The line has dropped to LSU -9. At the time of this writing, the public was backing the LSU 88%-12%.
The Predictem Pick: We look for the LSU defense to dominate this game by shutting down the run and forcing Kentucky in to being one dimensional. This will lead to forced interceptions and a relatively easy cover for the Tigers.
LSU 38 Kentucky 21