Lousiana Tech at Nebraska Pick – Bet the Total

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Nebraska Cornhuskers matchup in a non-conference showdown at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) in Lincoln, NE. The over/under for this matchup is currently 47 while Nebraska is favored by -20.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (2-2 SU, ATS 2-1) vs Nebraska Cornhuskers (1-2 SU, ATS 2-1)

Date: Saturday, September 23rd

Location: Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, NE

TV: BTN

Point Spread: LT +20/Neb -20 (Need a 100% sportsbook bonus?)

Money Line: La Tech +769/Huskers -1375

Over/Under: 47

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Louisiana Tech and Nebraska did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 1-2. Against the spread Louisiana Tech went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 53 points per game.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Recent Form:

The Bulldogs dropped back to .500 after their most recent loss to North Texas. They are now preparing for this week’s game with a record of 2-2.

Favored by 4.5, Louisiana Tech not only lost straight-up but picked up an ATS loss. Combining for 77 points, the team’s surpassed the over/under line of 67.

In Louisiana Tech’s loss over North Texas, quarterback Jack Turner had one touchdown through the air and added one touchdown on the ground. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 145 yards while achieving a completion rate of 64.3%.

Louisiana Tech’s leading rusher against North Texas was Tyre Shelton, who along with rushing for 152 yards, he found the endzone one time in his 16 attempts. Cyrus Allen paced Louisiana Tech with his five receptions for 82 yards and one touchdown.

The Bulldogs’ defense finished the game by giving up 562 total yards to North Texas. The team’s run defense allowed 249 yards rushing compared to 313 in the passing game. Looking at this week’s game, the Louisiana Tech defense stands at 75th in points allowed, permitting 29 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 176 passing yards per game against them (42nd). On the ground, they’re conceding 205.2 rushing yards, ranking them 134th in college football.

Away Injury Report

Nebraska Cornhuskers Recent Form:

After beating Northern Illinois in their most recent game, the Nebraska Cornhuskers moved to 1-2 for the season.

When looking at how their game played out from a betting perspective, their combined 46 points resulted in Over bettors cashing in, with the total line offered up at 42.5. Nebraska also covered the spread as 12.5-point favorites.

In Nebraska’s most recent win, Heinrich Haarberg not only threw for two touchdowns but ran for one as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 158 yards while completing 58.3% of his passes.

Besides his passing performance vs. Northern Illinois, quarterback Heinrich Haarberg displayed his running abilities by carrying the ball 21 times and gaining 98 yards. Thomas Fidone II emerged as the team’s top receiver, scoring one touchdown and making four receptions for 42 yards.

The Cornhuskers’ defense finished the game by giving up 149 total yards to Northern Illinois. The team’s run defense allowed 26 yards rushing compared to 123 in the passing game. Nebraska comes into the game 36th in points allowed, allowing 20 points per game. Teams have been gaining 238.3 passing yards on average against them (111th). Against the run, they’re giving up 46.3 yards, placing them 4th in college football.

Home Injury Report

• When playing on the road, Louisiana Tech has an ATS mark of 1-9 vs. the spread.
• At home, Nebraska has gone 2-1 against the spread (last three).
• In the ten most recent times they were the underdog, Nebraska has put together an ATS record of 6-4.
• The previous ten time that Louisiana Tech was favored, they are 4-6 against the spread.

Line Movement:

In the context of the current moneyline odds, Louisiana Tech currently holds a 12% implied win probability, accompanied by a moneyline payout of +769. On the flip side, the Cornhuskers’ implied win percentage is 93% with a moneyline of -1375. Nebraska holds the current favor as 20 point road favorites. The point spread has seen limited movement, with the lines staying consistent since opening. The opening over/under line for this game, as per the oddsmakers, was 49. However, it has been adjusted down to its current line of 47, with the over paying out at -110 and the under at -110.

Free Pick

I’m staying away from the spread in this one, but instead going with the over on the total. The Louisiana Tech offense can be explosive should help this game being a higher scoring game than expected. I like the over at 47 points.