Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies: Betting Preview & Pick

NCAAF Week 14 – Texas Longhorns at Texas A&M Aggies
Where: Kyle Field (College Station, TX)
When: Saturday, November 30th at 7:00 PM EST
Watch: ABC

Betting Odds

Texas Longhorns -5.0
Over/Under 48.5

Rivalry week is finally upon us here in the last week of the 2024 college football regular season. There is truly nothing better in college football than watching two bitter rivals battle it out on the gridiron for bragging rights for the next calendar year. These games often influence the subsequent season’s recruiting classes and will definitely influence the final AP poll, which has major implications for the expanded college football playoffs. There is so much at stake this Saturday as the Texas Longhorns head to College Station to take on the Aggies of Texas A&M. Both programs have had much success in their current campaigns, and they can immortalize their season with a win over the other. In my opinion, this is by far the best game of the day. You will have to wait until the 7 o’clock hour for kickoff but trust me; it will be worth it. Let’s take a look at how each team got to their twelfth and final game and see who I believe has the advantage and is worthy of placing your money on.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns have been nearly perfect in 2024 and find themselves firmly in the playoff picture, likely regardless of this outcome….assuming they play a competitive game. They enter their final game in the midst of a four game winning streak and statistically speaking, they have very few weaknesses. This Longhorn team may just be the most well-rounded and complete team in the nation. Behind quarterback Quinn Ewers, the Longhorns are averaging 36.5 points per game, which is tough for any opponent to keep pace with. They average 279.7 passing yards per game which ranks 16th in the entire country. In their inaugural season in the SEC, the best conference in college football, Texas finds themselves at the very top, and with a win, they will secure their spot in the SEC championship game. The Longhorns feature a receiving trio that have all accumulated a minimum of 500 yards and have accounted for 18 of Ewer’s 23 touchdown passes. Texas can also run the ball at will, as evidenced by their top 3 rushers averaging at least 5 yards per carry. Utilizing Quintrevion Wisner and Jaydon Blue, the Longhorns are dynamic, speedy, and powerful on the ground. As a group, they average 169.6 rushing yards per game. As phenomenal as the offensive unit has been, the defensive group has been even better statistically. Texas only concedes an average of 12.1 points per game to opponents and is ranked top 3 in that category along with total yards allowed (267.8) and passing yards allowed (143.3) per game. The Longhorns have also limited their opposition’s ground game and only allow 104.2 rushing yards per game, good for 13th in the nation. Opponents have not been able to sustain drives against Texas and the Aggies will need a lot to swing in their favor in order to get a win here at home.

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

The Texas A&M Aggies enter this matchup off of a heartbreaking loss in their last game against Auburn. The game went into four overtime periods, and the Aggies had a chance to force a 5th if it were not for a dropped pass in the endzone. Still, Texas A&M finds themselves 8-3 on the year and in 4th place in the daunting SEC. After making a switch at QB, the Aggies now rely on Marcel Reed as their primary signal caller. Reed has completed 60% of his passes and boasts a 4:1 touchdown to interception ratio. Reed also brings dual-threat capabilities to the offense and can scramble for yardage on broken plays pretty effectively. As a whole, the Aggies average 427.7 total yards of offense per game, but only 208.7 of those yards come via the pass. A&M relies very heavily on its running game and has deployed a two-headed tandem of Amari Daniels and Le’Veon Moss for the majority of the season. Unfortunately, Moss has been ruled out for the remainder of the year with a knee injury and the Aggies will need to find contributions elsewhere. Texas A&M matches their passing yards with their rushing yards and also averages 208.7 yards per game on the ground. The defensive unit pails in comparison to that of the Longhorns, but they are still a very highly rated group. They are stout against both the pass and the run and have only conceded 21.5 points per game on average. Where Texas A&M really shines defensively is their ability to limit 3rd down conversions. They have held opponents to just a 33.3% conversion rate on the season.

My Pick: Texas Longhorns -5 (-110)

There is too much at stake for the Longhorns in this matchup for them to come out flat. They are better offensively and defensively and have the weapons to exploit any shortcomings that the Aggies have. Ewers has played in high-profile games throughout his collegiate career, and that will carry Texas to a victory on the road this Saturday. While the Aggies have not missed running back Le’Veon Moss all that much, I think that will change in this game. Against a team of the Longhorns’ caliber, any missing pieces can prove to be detrimental. Look for Texas to make a big statement and make their case that they are the best team in the country and have their eyes firmly on a national championship. 

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