Kansas State vs. Texas Tech Pick – Side Play or Total?

by | Last updated Oct 11, 2023 | cfb

Kansas State Wildcats (3-2 SU, ATS 2-2) vs Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-3 SU, ATS 2-2)

Date: Saturday, October 14th

Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX

TV: FS1

Point Spread: KSU +1/TT -1 (Boost your bankroll with a 100% bonus!)

Money Line: K-State -104/Tex Tech -118

Over/Under: 56.5

The Kansas State Wildcats and Texas Tech Red Raiders match up in a Big 12 showdown at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, TX. The over/under for this matchup is currently 56.5, with Texas Tech favored by -1.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The most recent matchup between these teams finished with a 37-28 win for Kansas State. The Kansas State offense had a big game, putting up 37 points on 459 yards of total offense. For the game, the Wildcats picked up 15 first downs while going 4/13 on 3rd down. Defensively, they gave up 359 passing yards and 114 yards rushing.

Kansas State Wildcats Recent Form:

Kansas State’s overall record dropped to 3-2 after their most recent loss to Oklahoma State. The Wildcats lost the game by a score of 29-21.

The pre-game over/under line for this matchup was 54 points, which the teams fell short of. Kansas State not only lost straight-up but also didn’t cover the spread as 11.5-point favorites.

Will Howard found the end zone in multiple ways against Oklahoma State, throwing for 152 yards and one touchdown in addition to rushing for one touchdown.

Not only did Will Howard lead the team in passing against Oklahoma State, but he was also Kansas State’s top rusher with 104 yards on 10 carries. Leading Kansas State in receiving against Oklahoma State was Phillip Brooks. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 50 yards on three receptions.

Defensively, Kansas State allowed a total of 419 yards to Oklahoma State. This includes giving up 181 yards on the ground and 238 passing yards. The Wildcats’ defense faces off against Texas Tech with 14 sacks and ranks 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 20.6 points per game, which is 55th in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 135th in the NCAA, allowing 259 passing yards per game. Kansas State’s run defense is yielding 94.8 rushing yards per contest.

Away Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Daniel Green LB Pectoral Out
Christian Duffie OL Foot Out
Jacob Parrish CB Undisclosed Questionable
Asa Newsom LB Undisclosed Out
Tre Spivey WR Undisclosed Questionable

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Texas Tech Red Raiders Recent Form:

Texas Tech reached a .500 record after securing a win over Baylor in their most recent game. The Red Raiders are now focused on this week’s matchup, carrying a 3-3 record into it.

With an over/under line of 59.5 going into the game, the teams fell short of that number with 53 points. Texas Tech covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites.

In the team’s most recent win, quarterback Behren Morton was not only responsible for three touchdowns through the air but also added one touchdown on the ground. In terms of passing, he accumulated 180 yards while achieving a completion rate of 73.1%.

Texas Tech’s leading rusher against Baylor was Tahj Brooks, who, along with rushing for 170 yards, found the end zone one time in his 31 attempts. Leading Texas Tech in receiving against Baylor was Myles Price. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 90 yards on 10 receptions.

Defensively, Texas Tech allowed a total of 342 yards to Baylor. This includes giving up 18 yards on the ground and 324 passing yards. The Texas Tech defense holds the 80th position in points allowed, allowing 23 points per game. Teams have an average of 244 passing yards per game against them (121st nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 126.2 rushing yards, placing them 57th in college football.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Cole Spencer OL Foot Out
Tyler Shough QB Leg Out
Jordan Brown WR Hip Probable
Mason Tharp TE Undisclosed Questionable
E’Maurion Banks DL Back Out
Blake Burris DL Knee Out
Isaac Smith LB Knee Out
Jacob Rodriguez LB Foot Out
Charles Robinson TE Ankle Probable
Wesley Smith LB Back Out
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Betting Trends

  • On the road, Kansas State has gone 1-2 vs. the spread.
  • Texas Tech is 3-2 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • In the ten most recent times they were the underdog, Texas Tech has put together an ATS record of 6-4.
  • Kansas State is 1-2 in their last three games as favorites.

Free Pick

In what is projected to be a shootout, I see the Red Raiders picking up the win at home. Look for this one to come down to the wire, but for Texas Tech to come out on top. I like Red Raiders on the moneyline.

Best Parlays

2 Team Parlay 3 Team Parlay 4 Team Parlay
sportsbetting 2.64 to 1 6 to 1 12.3 to 1
Bovada 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1
Mybookie 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1