Iowa vs Northwestern Pick ATS for Week 10

  Iowa Hawkeyes (6-2 SU, ATS 4-3-1) vs Northwestern Wildcats (4-4 SU, ATS 3-3)

Date: Saturday, November 4th

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

TV: PEAC

Point Spread: IA -5/NW +5

Money Line: Iowa -207/Northwestern +169

Over/Under: 31

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Northwestern Wildcats matchup in a Big Ten showdown at Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. The over/under for this matchup is currently 31, while Iowa is favored by -5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Northwestern will be looking for revenge in this week’s game, as the most recent matchup between the teams ended in a 33-13 win for Iowa. In the win, Iowa ran for 178 yards and threw for 220. On 3rd down, the Hawkeyes went 5/11. On the other side, Northwestern completed 23 of their 30 passes for 159 yards and ran for 18 yards.

Iowa Hawkeyes Recent Form:

After their latest loss to Minnesota, Iowa’s overall record now stands at 6-2. The Hawkeyes couldn’t secure the win and finished the game with a score of 12-10.

Leading up to the game, Iowa was favored to win by 3.5, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 30.5.

Quarterback Deacon Hill did not throw for a touchdown in the team’s loss over Minnesota, but he did rush for one touchdown. Overall, he had a completion percentage of 35.7% and threw for 116 yards.

Kaleb Johnson carried the ball six times vs. Minnesota and led the team with 18 yards on the ground and did not run for a touchdown in the game. For the game, Diante Vines hauled in three receptions for a total of 62 yards, which led the team.

The Hawkeyes’ defense finished the game by giving up 405 total yards to Minnesota. The team’s run defense allowed 205 yards rushing compared to 200 in the passing game. On defense, Iowa comes into the game ranked 167th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 38.6 times per contest vs. the Hawkeyes. Overall, they are giving up 14.5 points per game, which is 48th in college football. Against the run, they are 53rd in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.

Away Injury Report

Northwestern Wildcats Recent Form:

Northwestern reached a .500 record after securing a win over Maryland in their most recent game. The Wildcats are now focused on this week’s matchup, carrying a 4-4 record into it.

Not only did Northwestern win straight-up, they also covered the spread as 14.5-point underdogs. The team’s 60 combined points surpassed the over/under line of 48.5.

In the win vs. Maryland, quarterback Brendan Sullivan concluded with a QB rating of 137.05, connecting on 16 of 23 passes for 265 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Quarterback Brendan Sullivan also was productive in the running game against Maryland, carrying the ball 14 times for 56 yards. Leading Northwestern in receiving against Maryland was Joseph Himon II. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 67 yards on two receptions.

On defense, Northwestern finished their game against Maryland by giving up a total of 391 yards. Maryland threw the ball 47 times for 274 vs. Northwestern. While on the ground, the Wildcats gave up 117 rushing yards. The Wildcats defense faces off against Iowa with 16 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 26 points per game, which is 99th in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 36th in the NCAA, allowing 187.1 passing yards per game. Northwestern’s run defense is yielding 165.4 rushing yards per contest.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Looking at Iowa’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 4-1.
• Northwestern is 1-2 ATS in their last home games.
• Northwestern is 5-5 in their last ten games as underdogs.
• The previous ten time that Iowa was favored, they are 6-3-1 against the spread.

Free Pick

This is an angle play only. Neither team has been giving the scorekeeper a workout and I think that’s the key point here. The Hawkeyes have gone 3-2 in Big Ten play, but they haven’t won the yardage battle in any of the five games. They have relied on turnovers with a plus mark in all three wins and a negative mark in both losses. Northwestern has done a decent job in the turnover battle, winning or breaking even in turnover margin in four straight. QB Brendan Sullivan has been okay since taking over and they’re catching 5.5 points in what should be a close game. Take Northwestern +5.5.

With this game projected to be incredible low scoring, this is an EXCELLENT game to throw into a massive 20 point college football teaser only found at Wagerweb Sportsbook!