Hawkeyes vs. Cyclones Week 2 Pick: Offense Wins

Iowa Hawkeyes (1-0 SU, ATS 1-0) vs Iowa State Cyclones (1-0 SU, ATS 0-0)

Date: Saturday, September 9th

Location: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA

TV: Fox

Point Spread: Iowa -4/Iowa State +4 (If you live bet games, you gotta check out the platform at Bovada Sportsbook!)

Money Line: Iowa -184/Iowa State +147

Over/Under: 36.5

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Iowa State Cyclones matchup in a non-conference showdown at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, IA. The over/under for this matchup is currently 36.5 while Iowa is favored by -4.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Iowa State will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 10-7 win over Iowa. The Iowa State offense threw the ball 38 times vs. Iowa, finishing with 184 passing yards. Overall, Iowa finished with 150 yards of offense.

Iowa Hawkeyes Recent Form:

The Hawkeyes head into this week’s matchup vs. Iowa State hoping to start the year 2-0 after beating Utah State (24-14) in their first game.

Iowa’s straight-up win was not enough to cover the spread vs. Utah State, as the line going into the game was -23.5. On the over/under, the line was set at 43.5, resulting in a hit for the under.

Quarterback Cade McNamara threw for two touchdowns in Iowa’s win over Utah State. Overall, he had a passer rating of 98.06 while completing 56.7% of his passes for 191 yards.

Iowa’s leading rusher against Utah State was Kaleb Johnson, who along with rushing for 63 yards, he found the endzone one time in his 19 attempts. Leading Iowa in receiving against Utah State was Luke Lachey. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 73 yards on seven receptions.

The Hawkeyes’ defense finished the game by giving up 329 yards. The team’s run defense allowed 116 compared to 213 yards passing.

Away Injury Report

Iowa State Cyclones Recent Form:

Heading into their second game of the season, the Cyclones will be looking to move to 2-0 after their opening 30-9 win over Northern Iowa.

Iowa State’s 30 points was a good start for the team’s offensive, as last year’s team averaged 20.2 points per contest (90th).

In Iowa State’s win, Rocco Becht not only threw for two touchdowns but ran for one as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 113 yards while completing 76.9% of his passes.

Finishing the game with 49 yards on the ground, Cartevious Norton led Iowa State in rushing against Northern Iowa. However, he did not run for a touchdown in the game. The team’s top receiver was Benjamin Brahmer, who hauled in one touchdown and caught one ball for 36 yards.

Against Northern Iowa, the Cyclones defense was excellent, giving up just 9 points on 279 yards allowed. Northern Iowa’s passing game finished with 173 yards. Up-front, Iowa State gave up 2.9 yards per attempt.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Iowa’s ten most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 6-3-1 against the spread.
• Iowa State’s ATS record at home (last five) is 2-3.
• Iowa State’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 1-2.
• Iowa is 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite.

Line Movement:

Since Iowa opened at -134 on the moneyline, they have moved to -189, giving them an implied win percentage of 65%. Iowa State currently have implied odds of 40% with a moneyline of +150. The Cyclones’ moneyline opened at +110. Since the lines have opened, Iowa has moved from -2.5 point favorites to their current line of -4 (-109). Iowa State is currently +4 (-113) point underdogs at home. The over/under market has seen a shift since when it opened, with the lines opening at 40.5 compared to where its currently at (36.5).

Free Pick

Neither team showed much offensive prowess in their opener, but Iowa State was coasting with a 30-0 lead over Nother Illinois early in the 3rd and basically shut it down. Cyclones QB Rocco Becht all 6’ 7” of him looked solid completing 10 of 13 to six different receivers for 113 and two TDs. The Hawkeyes new QB Cade McNamara looked only so-so completing 17 of 30 for 190 yards against Utah State. What may have been more alarming was the run game that managed only 88 yards on 36 carries against an Aggies team that allowed 194 yards per game last season. Take Iowa State +4