Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina: Week 7 Picks Against the Spread

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (4-2 SU, ATS 2-2-1)  vs North Carolina Tar Heels (3-3 SU, ATS 0-4-1)

Date: 12:00 EST Saturday, October 12th

Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

TV: CW

Point Spread: GT -5.5/UNC +5.5 (Stop overpaying for odds! Bet on games at -105 instead of -110!)

Money Line: Ga. Tech -227/N. Carolina  +186

Over/Under: 58.5

Georgia Tech is favored at -5.5 points as they head into this week seven matchup against the North Carolina Tar Heels. The game is set for 12:00 ET at Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill and will be broadcast on CW. The over/under line is currently 58.5 points. The Yellow Jackets have a 4-2 record, while the Tar Heels are 3-3 on the season. 

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Last season, the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and North Carolina Tar Heels did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the North Carolina Tar Heels have the leg up at 2-1. Against the spread, each team went 0-3 and finished with an over/under mark of 0-3. These games averaged a combined 65 points per contest.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Recent Form:

Georgia Tech enters Week 7 against North Carolina with a 4-2 record, sitting at 46th in our power rankings. They are 3-0 at home but 0-2 on the road this season. The Yellow Jackets have a 74.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, but their odds of winning the Atlantic Coast are just 0.4%.

Their average scoring margin is +12.2 points per game, and they are 2-2-1 against the spread. At home, Georgia Tech is 2-0-1 ATS, while they are 0-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in three games, going 1-1-1 ATS as the favorite.

Georgia Tech’s over/under record is 0-5, with their games averaging 50.8 points. This week’s line is set at 58.5 points, higher than their average line of 55.9 points.

Georgia Tech’s passing game has been the focal point of their offense, ranking 19th in passing yards per game with 257.8 yards. They are 12th in completions, averaging 22 per game, and 29th in passing attempts. Overall, they are 38th in scoring, with 31.5 points per game, and are ranked 19th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7.

Quarterback Haynes King has completed 74% of his passes, throwing for 1,441 yards, eight touchdowns, and just one interception. His passer rating is 112. Leading receiver Malik Rutherford has 474 yards on 37 catches. On the ground, Georgia Tech is 32nd in rushing, averaging 178.5 yards per game.

Georgia Tech’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 39th nationally by allowing just 19.3 points per game. In their recent game against Duke, they gave up only 14 points, holding the Blue Devils to 74 rushing yards on 20 attempts and forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 90.7 rushing yards per game against Georgia Tech, the 16th-lowest mark in the country. The Yellow Jackets have faced the 7th-fewest rushing attempts nationally while allowing 225 passing yards per game and a completion rate of 65.1%.

Away Injury Report

North Carolina Tar Heels Recent Form:

North Carolina enters Week 7 against Georgia Tech with a 3-3 record and ranks 65th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 67.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but are out of the running for the Atlantic Coast title. At home, the Tar Heels are 1-2 this season.

North Carolina is 0-4-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +4 points per game. They’ve been favored in four of their six games but have yet to cover, going 0-3-1 as the favorite.

Their over/under record stands at 2-3, with an average line of 53.4 points. This week’s line is set at 58.5 points, and their games have averaged 61.3 points per contest.

North Carolina’s offense is averaging 32.7 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 33rd in the nation. They are ranked 72nd in our offensive power rankings. The Tar Heels have been strong on the ground, averaging 198.3 rushing yards per game on 38.8 attempts.

Omarion Hampton leads the rushing attack with 764 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Jacolby Criswell has thrown for 1,158 yards with seven touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 86. North Carolina ranks 8th in passing attempts, averaging 35 per game.

North Carolina’s defense has allowed 28.7 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent loss to Pittsburgh. They gave up 523 total yards, with 381 yards coming through the air and three passing touchdowns, though they did manage to force an interception.

Opponents have averaged 257.2 passing yards per game against North Carolina, ranking them 136th nationally, but quarterbacks have completed just 54.6% of their passes, the 23rd-lowest percentage in the country. On the ground, the Tar Heels have allowed 126.2 rushing yards per game.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have a straight-up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 25 points per game in these contests.
• Through their last three home games, North Carolina has an ATS record of just 0-2-1. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 16 points per game.
• Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the North Carolina Tar Heels have a record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
• Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-1-1.

Free Pick

Even though Georgia Tech has yet to win on the road this year, this is the spot for them to add that win to their resume. In terms of the spread, they are sitting at -5.5, and I believe they have enough offensive firepower to cover in this one. Look for the Yellow Jackets to get off to a hot start and easily cover at -5.5. I’m taking Georgia Tech to cover.

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