UConn vs. Georgia State: Can the Huskies’ Defense Shut Down the Panthers?

Georgia State Panthers (2-5 SU, ATS 2-4)  vs UConn Huskies (5-3 SU, ATS 4-3)

Date: 7:00 EST Friday, November 1st

Location: Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT

TV: CBSS

Point Spread: GSU +7.5/UConn -7.5

Money Line: Georgia St. +246/Connecticut  -308

Over/Under: 48.5

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UConn is the -7.5 point favorite as they host the Georgia State Panthers in a week 10 college football matchup. Kickoff is set for 7:00 ET from Pratt & Whitney Stadium in East Hartford. The game can be seen on CBSS. The over/under line is at 48.5 points. The Huskies come in with a 5-3 record, while the Panthers are 2-5 on the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The Georgia State Panthers and UConn Huskies did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Georgia State Panthers have a record of 2-1. Against the spread, each team went 1-2 and finished with an over/under mark of 1-2. These games averaged a combined 42 points per contest.

Georgia State Panthers Recent Form:

Georgia State enters Week 10 against UConn with a 2-5 record, ranked 104th in our CFB power rankings. They have just a 2.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, the Panthers are 0-3, while they’ve gone 1-2 at home this season.

They’ve been favored in two of their seven games but have lost both, going 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -8.9 points per game, and they are 2-4 against the spread this season.

Georgia State’s over/under record is 3-2-1, with their games averaging 52.6 points. Their average over/under line is 53.6 points, slightly higher than this week’s line of 48.5 points.

Georgia State’s offense is averaging 21.9 points per game heading into week 10, placing them 79th in the nation. Our power rankings have them 92nd overall. Their passing game ranks 38th in attempts per game, with 37.4, and they are 32nd in completions, averaging 22.7 per game. They are also averaging 247.7 passing yards per game.

Christian Veilleux has thrown for 1,301 yards this season, with a passer rating of 82. He has nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Georgia State ranks 93rd in third-down conversions, converting 36.3% of their attempts. On the ground, they are averaging 137.9 rushing yards per game. Freddie Brock leads the team with 497 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Ted Hurst has 506 receiving yards and six touchdowns.

Georgia State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 30.7 points per game. In their recent game against Appalachian State, they gave up 33 points and 482 total yards, including 299 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 226.4 passing yards per game against Georgia State, completing 62.6% of their passes. The Panthers have also allowed 195.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 147th nationally.

Away Injury Report

UConn Huskies Recent Form:

UConn enters Week 10 with a 5-3 record, hosting Georgia State. They are 4-1 at home this season and rank 79th in our CFB power rankings. The Huskies have a 99.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections.

UConn has been favored in four games this season, going 4-0 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is +11.1 points per game, and they are 4-3 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points. UConn’s games have averaged 51.9 points, with an average O/U line of 47.6 points. Their over/under record is 3-4 for the season.

UConn’s offense is averaging 31.5 points per game, placing them 37th nationally in scoring as they head into week 10. Their rushing attack is the focal point, ranking 11th in rushing attempts and averaging 197.9 yards per game on the ground. Durell Robinson leads the team with 565 rushing yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns.

Quarterback Joe Fagnano has thrown for 999 yards with 11 touchdowns and three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 117. Skyler Bell leads the receiving corps with 581 yards and four touchdowns. UConn is ranked 110th in our offensive power rankings this week.

UConn’s defense played a key role in their recent 17-10 win over Rice, allowing just 10 points. They held Rice to 178 total yards, including 90 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 88 passing yards.

On the season, UConn ranks 33rd nationally, giving up 20.4 points per game. Opponents are averaging 142.5 rushing yards and 188.9 passing yards, with a passer rating of 73.4, the 28th-lowest in the country.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Through their last three road games, Georgia State has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 19 points per game.
• In their last ten games at home, the UConn Huskies have a straight-up record of 2-8 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 17 points per game in this stretch.
• Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Georgia State Panthers have a strong record vs the spread, going 3-2. Their straight-up mark in these contests is 2-3.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the UConn Huskies have a strong straight-up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Free Pick

Where Uconn has a big advantage in this one is on the defensive side of the ball, and they are taking on a Georgia State offense that is looking to move the ball through the air. However, I see Uconn putting the clamps down on the Panthers’ offense, and getting Uconn at -7.5 is a steal for week 10. Before kickoff on Saturday, go ahead and take Uconn to cover at -7.5 at home.

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