No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. No. 10 Auburn Tigers (7-2 SU, 4-4-1 ATS)
College Football Week 11
Date/Time: Saturday November 11th, 2017. 3:30PM (EST)
Where: Auburn, A.L.
TV: CBS
by Jay, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: UGA -2.5/AUB +2.5
Over/Under Total: 47
One of the marquee games of the weekend will take place this Saturday when the top ranked Georgia Bulldogs travel into Jordan-Hare Stadium for a collision with the no. 10 Auburn Tigers. If the top 10 ranking is not enough to pique your interest, consider the factors that are on the line. Georgia puts their undefeated record on the line as they keep College Football Playoffs hopes alive. Meanwhile Auburn is trying to keep their SEC Championship hopes alive. If they can beat Georgia at home, the table would be set for a date with Alabama in the Iron Bowl to decide the SEC West. Therefore, this game has heavy implications for both teams.
I am personally very intrigued by this matchup between the Bulldogs and the Tigers. Georgia is having a breakout year and they are loaded with talent. Despite popular belief, I believe the Bulldogs are the best team in the SEC. Yes, I believe they are better than Alabama. However, Auburn is arguably the best two loss team in the nation and easily capable of pulling off an upset bid. With this game also taking place on the Plains, I believe Auburns chances off the upset are even better and it will be interesting to see how these next few weeks unfold for Auburn. Can they upset no. 1 Georgia? If they do, they will get no. 1 Alabama at home in the Iron Bowl? If they win both of those games, they are bound to Atlanta for the SEC Championship.
Obviously the Tigers chances of winning both are not great but lets take it one game at a time. Offensively, Auburn has the players at the key positions to challenge defenses. Quarterback Jarrett Stidham has been rock solid completing 66% passing with 11 touchdowns and just 3 picks. Meanwhile, running back Kerryon Johnson leads an Auburn rushing attack that has averaged 236 yards per game on the ground as the nations 19th best rushing unit. Johnson has tallied 868 yards with 15 touchdowns on the year as the main threat in the Auburn backfield. However, Kam Martin and Kamryn Pettway have had strong efforts in complimentary roles this year.
The main question for this Saturdays matchup is can Auburns rushing attack foil the Georgia defense? The Bulldogs defensive effort has been tremendous this season as they rank in the top 5 in both scoring and total yards. In fact, Georgias defense has not allowed more than two scores in 6 of the last 7 games. It is the Bulldogs defense that truly makes them a National Championship contender. Obviously, they have a great rushing offense led by arguably the best tandem in college football in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. Together Chubb and Michel have combined for nearly 1,600 rushing yards and have 9 touchdowns each. Georgias offensive line has improved greatly this year and they are legitimately one of the top rushing offenses in college football averaging 279 yards per game on the ground.
However, I still believe this teams strength is their defense. I have been thoroughly impressed by this Georgia defense. In the last two weeks, the Bulldogs held Florida to just 7 points and then held South Carolina to just 10 points. Obviously neither of those offenses presents the challenge that Auburn does and you expect the Tigers to play better at home. Therefore, I think this betting line is pretty accurate with the Bulldogs favored by just 2.5 points on the road against a dangerous offense. They will need an extremely strong effort on both sides of the ball to remain undefeated.
Jay’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I fully expect Auburn to play well but I do not want to undermine how good Georgia has become. I expect both offenses to make plays which will elevate the game pace to put pressure on the offenses to score. I also expect this game to be close throughout all 60 minutes. Therefore, I am staying away from the side but I believe the over bet in regards to the 47 point total is a great play. Take the over 47. Bet this game and all your sports bets at 5Dimes! Why should you switch? Because you’re being overcharged for odds! Your book is socking you -110. Why pay that hefty price when you can bet at the lower price of -105? This saves you $5 for every $100 you bet and $50 for every $1000 you wager. Added up over time, this amounts to a massive amount of cash you’re pissing away. Plus, 5Dimes is simply better. More wagers, teasers up to 20 points, parlays up to 25 teams, faster payouts. It doesn’t make any sense to bet anywhere else! Get signed up today by clicking here!