Georgia Bulldogs Season Wins Prediction – Expert Insights from Loot Levinson

Georgia Bulldogs Season Wins Predictions

Georgia Bulldogs Season Wins Over-Under Pick

Bovada Betting Line: Over 10.5 Wins (-130), Under 10.5 Wins (Even)

Analysis

It’s a hefty win-total for a team that deserves expectations to be this high, following a run that includes two national titles in three years and 46 wins in their last 48 games. It’s still tough for Georgia optimists that in a 12-game season, all it takes is two losses to make a bet on the “over” a loser. And it’s actually “over” that is favored! But with how the Bulldogs have controlled the SEC, an 11-win regular season really isn’t that far-fetched. But any slip-up on the part of this team or any off-days really put an “over” bet in peril.

Again, the conference title game, bowl games, or CFP matchups don’t count toward this total. You get 12 regular season games to decide this wager. So, that means 11-1 or 12-0 is what you need and are the only records that would make an “over” bet on Georgia a winner. Anything else is “under.” It’s a tough one, to be sure, but it’s also something they’ve pulled off doing in each of the last three seasons.

It may be even harder this season with the SEC a little deeper. They now have to play a high-ranked Texas team on the road, a real tough one on their schedule. They open with a tough game against Clemson away from home, another potential landmine. They have some easier ones against Tennessee Tech and Kentucky before having to go into Tuscaloosa to take on an Alabama team that beat them last season. They’ve got to go into Ole Miss to take on a tough Rebels team, while also taking on Tennessee and then Florida at a neutral location.

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On one hand, they have a good 7-8 games on their schedule that are either sure wins or are games that would require near-historic upsets for the Bulldogs to lose. That leaves a small handful of tough games, but they’re being put in some tough spots in those tougher tests. With games away from home against Clemson, Alabama, Texas, and Ole Miss, they’re in tough with some good ranked teams, three of those ranked in the preseason top six. That’s nothing to shake a stick at.

Still, this is a team with one SEC loss in the last three years. They are the clear favorites to be at the top of college football this season. So, imagining a team like that going unbeaten or losing just once isn’t that difficult. After all, other than against Alabama, this team hasn’t lost a game since November 2020. When you consider a really good offense that might be better, it all shapes up to where you don’t feel inclined to be pessimistic about the Bulldogs this season.

QB Carson Beck lost a signature tight end with Brock Bowers going to the NFL, but they still have some of the better tight end prospects in the nation. The wide receiver room is loaded, with some tantalizing transfers like London Humphreys coming into the fold. Their running back package is dynamic with Trevor Etienne and exciting Branson Robinson. It’s an offense that should do a lot of damage and hold up its end of the deal for this team.

The defense is going to be good, anchored by a few future NFL stars in defensive lineman Mykel Williams and DB Malaki Starks. We did see last season in their key game against Alabama which spoiled everything that the front isn’t always top-top. And in the big games they play this season, you wonder if they can get just that small handful of third-down stops, QB sacks and pressures, and more overall menace to flip some of these tougher games in their favor.

Some might nit-pick their standing at cornerback behind Daylen Everette. But what you see behind him is abundant talent and potential. Is there a chance, early on, that some of that inexperience costs them? Sure, but there’s also a chance that their talent congeals in the secondary to make them one of the best units in the nation. But if Georgia can’t get that consistent pass-rush, it could put some pressure on a secondary that lacks a bit of overall big-game experience.

The more-naysaying bettors of this proposition might defer to the simple fact that things change and are very difficult in this sport. The team ranked at the top at the beginning of the season doesn’t always finish in that spot. There are a gaggle of hungry and capable teams pining for the glory Georgia has been getting the last few years. It’s not unusual for a top team to get that little 3-4-year run before regressing a little bit. Some of the teams in the running to get to the top will be facing the Bulldogs, and there’s just not enough room for all those teams to go unbeaten or to take only one loss.

Geogia head coach Kirby Smart looks like he’s going to trot out another high-end product this season. The offense looks dynamite, and there might be an ax to grind after falling short (by their standards) last season. I just can’t help but think that some of their question marks on defense, along with what is truly a supremely difficult schedule, will make 11 wins an uphill battle. They could even go “under” in this and still make the College Football Playoff. Either way, I’m picking the Georgia Bulldogs to go “under” 10.5 wins this season.

Betting Pick: I’m betting on the Georgia Bulldogs to go “under” 10.5 wins at even betting odds.