Friday CFB Pick: K-State at Ok-State Best Bet

When: 7:30 pm ET Friday, Oct. 6

Where: Boone Pickens Stadium

TV: ESPN

CFB Betting Odds

This week’s college football betting market opened with Kansas State as an 11-point conference road favorite for Friday night, with an over/under of right around 55. Early betting action edged that spread to 11.5.

Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State Betting Preview

The Big 12 offers up a prime-time border battle to watch and bet when defending conference champion Kansas State takes on Oklahoma State Friday night in Stillwater.

The Wildcats won their conference opener a couple weeks ago while the Cowboys lost theirs. Both teams are coming off bye weeks.

OSU is lined as a double-digit home dog for this one. Which way are we going with our free college football betting pick?

Kansas State Numbers

The Wildcats bounced back from a tough loss at Missouri three weeks ago to beat Central Florida two Saturdays ago 44-31. Kansas State then had last week off.

K-State, as it’s done every game this season, drove its first possession against the Knights to a touchdown and led 21-17 at the half. The Wildcats then fell down to UCF 24-21 early in the third quarter but went on a 23-0 run to take control and covered at -6.

Kansas State racked up 536 yards of total offense, including 281 on the ground. And while the Wildcats defense gave up 407 yards that was nearly 200 less than Central Florida was averaging coming in.

K-State opened this season with easy wins over Southeast Missouri (FCS) and Troy, then lost that game to Mizzou 30-27 on a 61-yard field goal at the buzzer.

The Wildcats returned 13 starters this season from a team that played 7-2 in the Big 12 last year, then beat TCU in the conference championship game. So K-State thinks it’s got a shot at a return engagement to that conference title tilt.

The Cowboys are 0-2 both SU and ATS their last two times out after losing at Iowa State two weeks ago 34-27. Oklahoma State then also had last week off.

OSU scored the first seven points of the game against the Cyclones but trailed 20-17 at the half. The Cowboys then gave up the first seven points of the second half, never fully recovered and came up short ATS at +4.

Oklahoma State produced 409 yards of total offense but gave up 422 yards of ISU offense.

The Cowboys opened this season with underwhelming wins over Central Arkansas (FCS) and Arizona State, then got totally outplayed at home by South Alabama and lost 33-7.

OSU returned 13 starters this season from a team that played 4-5 in the Big 12 last season. The Cowboys are trying to break in a new quarterback at the moment but it isn’t going all that well so far.

Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State Recent History

The Cowboys beat the Wildcats three times in a row from 2019-21 but Kansas State kicked OSU last year 48-0. The ‘Cats out-gained the Pokes that day 495-217.

College Football Betting Trends

Stretching back into last season Oklahoma State is only 4-8 both SU and ATS over its last 12 games.

Kansas State is 7-2 both SU and ATS over its last nine games.

Totals Report

The overs are 3-0 in Wildcats games vs. FBS opponents this season.

The unders are 2-1 in Cowboys games vs. FBS foes.

The unders are 4-1 over the last five meetings between these teams.

Free College Football Betting Pick

Kansas State gets our handicapping check-marks in the QB match-up, with the running game and with the better defense. And playing on the road means the spread’s a bit friendlier. If this game were being played in Manhattan the Wildcats might be favored by 16-17 points. We like K-State for Friday night.