Fri CFB Picks: Air Force vs Wyoming 9/16/22
Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys
Date: Friday, September 16th
Location: War Memorial Stadium (WY), Laramie, WY
TV: CBSS
Point Spread: Falcons -16.0 / Cowboys +16.0 (BAS – STOP betting games at -110! You’re wasting hard earned money! Start saving big bucks by wagering at -105 here!)
Money Line: Falcons -837 / Cowboys 541
Over/Under: 49.5
RECENT FORM
This year, Falcons have an overall record of 2-0. The team will be playing its first game in
the Mountain West. Last year, the Falcons were an above .500 team on the road, going 5-0. Across
their last 3 road games, they had an ATS record of 3-0-0.
This week, the Falcons will look to pick up another win, as they are coming off a 41-10 win
over Colorado. With the 31-point victory, Air Force also covered the spread. Air Force ended the
game with a total of 8 passing yards on 5 attempts. However, they did not find the endzone. The
team ended the game with 5 rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 435 yards on the ground.
So far, quarterback Haaziq Daniels has a passer rating of 107.01 while completing 4 of his 11
attempts. Currently, he has a total of 117 passing yards. Dane Kinamon leads the team’s receiving
corps with 2 catches for a total of 88 yards. The top option in the run game for the team is Brad
Roberts, who has carried the ball 32 times for a total of 288 yards.
This season, the Cowboys have an overall mark of 2-1 and will be kicking off their first game
in the Mountain West. Last year, the Cowboys posted a .500 record at home, going 3-3. In their
last 3 home games, they went 2-1-0 against the spread.
In their previous game, Wyoming knocked off Northern Colorado by a score of 33-10. However,
despite the road win, the Cowboys did not cover the spread, as they were 24.5-point favorites.
For the game, Wyoming threw for 144 yards but did not come up with a passing touchdown. Their
overall completion percentage came in at 63.3%. The team ended the game with 3 rushing
touchdowns, along with a total of 149 yards on the ground.
Heading into the matchup, Andrew Peasley has an overall passer rating of 73.44 on a total of
430 yards. Thus far, he has thrown for 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Receiver Joshua Cobbs
heads into the game, as the team’s leader in receiving yards, with a total of 135. In the run
game, Titus Swen has accumulated 214 on 43 attempts to lead the team.
BETTING TRENDS
Against the spread, Air Force have gone 8-2-0 in their last 10 games. Over this same period,
their straight-up record is 8-2-0. On offense, the team averaged 32.0 points per game while
allowing 20.1. Their over-under mark (last 10) is 6-4-0.
Over their last 10 games, the Cowboys have covered the spread at a rate of 50.0%. In these
games, they posted a straight-up mark of 5-5-0. The team averaged 25.7 points in these games
while allowing 25.9. Their last 10 over-under record is 7-3-0.
More Picks: Get Dan’s Florida State at Louisville analysis and point spread pick 9/16/22
KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS
So far, the Falcons are averaging 44.5 points per game on offense, which is good for 21st most
in college football.
This season, Air Force has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 58.5
passing yards per game. This week, the Falcons will be facing a Wyoming defense that finished
22nd in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 103.0 yards per game when facing
top 25 pass defenses.
So far, Air Force has relied heavily on the ground game, as they rank 1st in attempts per
game, with an average of 66.0. This heavy usage has led to an average of 508.5 rush yards per
game, placing them 1st in the NCAA. This week, the Falcons will be facing a Wyoming defense that
finished 125th in rush yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 373.0 yards per game when
facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.
Going into the game, the Falcons’ defensive unit is 28th in the NCAA in points allowed per
game at 13.5.
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Cowboys will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 91st in the NCAA in points scored.
This season, the Cowboys have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just
143.33 passing yards per game. This week, the Cowboys will be facing an Air Force defense that
finished 36th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 193.67 yards per game when
facing top 25 pass defenses.
So far, the Wyoming offense is averaging just 158.0 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 38.33 rush attempts per game (56th). This week, the Cowboys
will be facing an Air Force defense that finished 15th in rush yards allowed per game. Last year,
they averaged 238.0 yards per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.
Heading into the game, the Cowboys will hope for some improved play from their defense, as
they are currently 87th at 28.33 points per game allowed.
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