Fresno State vs UNLV Odds & Predictions 11/11/22

Fresno State Bulldogs (5-4 SU, ATS 3-5) vs UNLV Rebels (4-5 SU, ATS 6-3)
Date: Friday, November 11th
Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
TV: CBSS
Point Spread: Bulldogs -8.5/Rebels +8.5 (BAS – They let you bet games at -105 instead of -110)
Money Line: Bulldogs -335/Rebels +261
Over/Under: 58

RECENT FORM

Last season, the Bulldogs finished with an overall record of 5-4. This includes going 4-1 in Mountain West action. This season, the Bulldogs have been favored in 4 games while posting an ATmark of 3-5. Their average over-under betting line is 46.67 leading to an over-under record of 5-3.

In their last game, the Bulldogs are coming off a 55-13 win over Hawaii. In addition, they added an ATS win, as they were 27.5 favorites on the spread. The team finished the game by throwing four touchdown passes. Overall, the Bulldogs had 327 passing yards on a completion percentage of 82.8%. The team ended the game with two rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 245 yards on the ground.

The team’s leading quarterback is Jake Haener, who comes into the game with a passer rating of 114.16. Heading into this week’s game, he has a total of 1575 passing yards. Jalen Cropper leads the team’s receiving corps with 56 catches for a total of 661 yards. The top option in the run game for the team is Jordan Mims, who has carried the ball 160 times for a total of 794
yards.

This year, the Rebels have a 2-3 record in the Mountain West. Their overall record comes in at 4-5. This season, the Rebels have been favored in 4 games while posting an ATS mark of 6-3. Their average over-under betting line is 51.61 leading to an over-under record of 4-5.

UNLV is coming off a 4-point loss to San Diego State by a score of 14-10. The Rebels entered the game as 5.0 point home underdogs, making this an ATS loss. The team finished the game by throwing for one touchdown pass. Overall, the Rebels had 207 passing yards on a completion percentage of 63.0%. In the rushing game, the Rebels did not find the endzone, while finishing with a total of 118 yards on the ground.

The team’s leading quarterback is Doug Brumfield, who comes into the game with a passer rating of 98.65 on a completion percentage of 67.6%. Ricky White leads the team’s receiving corps with 44 catches for a total of 547 yards. In the run game, Aidan Robbins has accumulated 706 on 146 attempts to lead the team.

BETTING TRENDS

Through their last 10 matchups, Fresno State has gone 6-4 straight up and 3-7 vs the spread.
The team’s average scoring differential was 6.4, as they averaged 29.4 points per game.
Defensively, they allowed an average of 23.0. Their last 10 over-under record is 6-4-0.

Across their 5 previous road games, Fresno State has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight-up
record in these matchups was 2-3-0 while averaging 26.4 points per game.

Against the spread, the Rebels have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games. Straight up, they have
a record of 4-6. The team averaged 24.8 points in these games while allowing 30.0. Their last 10
over-under record is 5-5.

Across their 5 previous home games, UNLV has an ATS mark of 3-2. Their straight-up record in
these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 33.6 points per game.

More Picks: Get our Mizz/Vols Week 11 game betting analysis & free pick ATS

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Bulldogs will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 68th in the NCAA in points scored. In Friday’s game, they are facing off
against UNLV defense that is allowing an average of 28.0 points per game

So far, the Bulldogs have turned to the passing attack at a below-average rate this season and
are facing a defense allowing teams to complete passes at a rate of 56.61%.

On the ground, the Fresno State offense is averaging just 135.78 yards per game. This
production has come on an average of 34.0 rush attempts per game (92nd). This week, the Bulldogs
will be facing a UNLV defense ranked 136th in rush yards allowed per game. For the season, they
have averaged 148.83 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Rebels will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 82nd in the NCAA in points scored and are facing a defense allowing an
average of 22.89 points per game.

So far, the UNLV offense is averaging just 135.56 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 33.33 rush attempts per game (97th). This week, the Rebels
will be facing a Fresno State defense that is ranked 123rd in rush yards allowed per game. So
far, they are averaging 171.6 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

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