Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio Predictions, Picks, and Week 12 CFB Odds

Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-4 SU, ATS 5-2)  vs Ohio Bobcats (6-3 SU, ATS 5-3)
Date: 7:00 EST Wednesday, November 13th
Location: Peden Stadium, Athens, OH
TV: ESPN2
Point Spread: EMU +9/OU -9
Money Line: EMU +266/OU  -334
Over/Under: 49.5

At 7:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th, the Buffalo Bulls will host the Ball State Cardinals at UB Stadium in Buffalo. The game will be broadcast on CBSS, and the Bulls are currently -4.5 point favorites. The money line odds have Buffalo at -192 and Ball State at +158, with the over/under line set at 53.5 points. Buffalo enters the game with a 5-4 record, while Ball State is 3-6 on the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The Eastern Michigan Eagles and Ohio Bobcats did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Eastern Michigan Eagles have a record of 2-1. The Eastern Michigan Eagles also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 65 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

Eastern Michigan Eagles Recent Form:

Ball State heads into Week 12 against Buffalo with a 3-6 record, ranked 124th in our CFB power rankings. They have just a 1.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, the Cardinals are 1-4, while they are 1-2 at home this season.

The Cardinals have been favored in only one game this season and have a -14.2 average scoring margin. Their ATS record stands at 5-3, with a perfect 3-0 mark at home. As underdogs, they are 5-2 against the spread.

Ball State’s over/under record is 6-1-1, with their games averaging 63.6 points. This week’s line is set at 53.5 points, slightly below their average over/under line of 53.9 points.

Ball State’s offense has leaned on their passing game, ranking 30th in passing attempts per game. They are 24th in completions, averaging 23 per game, and their quarterback, Kadin Semonza, has thrown for 2,029 yards with a 65.8% completion rate. He has 16 touchdowns but also nine interceptions, and his passer rating is 89.

Overall, Ball State is 67th in scoring, averaging 24.7 points per game, and they are 99th in our offensive power rankings. On the ground, they average 107.2 rushing yards per game. Braedon Sloan leads the team with 517 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Cam Pickett is the leading receiver with 289 yards.

Ball State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 38.9 points per game. In their recent matchup against Miami (OH), they gave up 27 points, including three passing touchdowns, while allowing 336 total yards. The Cardinals did manage to intercept one pass during the game.

Opponents have averaged 291.9 passing yards per game against Ball State, completing 64.1% of their passes. On the ground, the Cardinals have allowed 172.3 rushing yards per game despite facing the 22nd fewest rushing attempts in the country.

Away Injury Report

Ohio Bobcats Recent Form:

Buffalo enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, and our projections give them a 97.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They’ve gone 2-1 at home this season and are ranked 116th in our CFB power rankings. So far, they’ve been favored in just one game this season.

The Bulls have a -4.8 average scoring margin and are 3-4 against the spread. At home, they’ve covered the spread twice in three games and are 1-0 ATS as the favorite.

Buffalo’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 53.2 points. This week’s line is set at 53.5 points, which is higher than their average line of 46.7 points.

Buffalo’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 114th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. They are averaging 24.2 points per game, placing them 69th nationally, and their third-down conversion rate is just 30.6%, ranking 119th. Their passing game has been a weak spot, averaging 174.2 yards per game, and they are 96th in passer rating.

Quarterback C.J. Ogbonna has thrown for 1,527 yards with a passer rating of 87. He has ten touchdowns and two interceptions. Buffalo is 39th in rushing attempts, averaging 155.6 yards per game. Al-Jay Henderson leads the team with 562 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Victor Snow has 424 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Buffalo’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 29 points per game. In their recent matchup against Akron, they gave up 30 points, including 378 passing yards and four touchdowns, though they did limit Akron to just 74 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 255.4 passing yards per game against Buffalo, ranking them 143rd nationally. Quarterbacks have completed 62.4% of their passes with a passer rating of 92.4. On the ground, Buffalo has allowed 154.3 rushing yards per game.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Eastern Michigan has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 27 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• Through their last three home contests, the Ohio Bobcats offense has averaged 29 points per game while allowing an average of 18. Ohio posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
• Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Eastern Michigan Eagles have a straight-up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Ohio Bobcats have a strong straight-up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Free Pick

The oddsmakers have this one set at a big number in favor of Ohio, with the spread sitting at -9 in their favor. However, I see these two teams as a much more evenly matchup than the odds suggest. I see taking Eastern Michigan at +9 as one of the best value bets of the week, as I wouldn’t be surprised if they made a run at winning this one outright.

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