Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals: Betting Preview and Pick

Duke Blue Devils (5-2 SU, ATS 4-2) vs Louisville Cardinals (6-1 SU, ATS 2-4)
Date: Saturday, October 28th
Location: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: Duke +4/Louisville -4
Money Line: Duke +149/Louisville -185
Over/Under: 46.5

The Duke Blue Devils and Louisville Cardinals matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Louisville, KY. The over/under for this matchup is currently 46.5, while Louisville is favored by -4.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Duke has gone 2-1. The teams split these games vs. the spread, each going 1-2. In terms of scoring, Duke and Louisville averaged 41 points and finished with an over/under record of 1-2.

Duke Blue Devils Recent Form:

Following their recent matchup against Florida State, Duke’s overall record has fallen to 5-2. The Blue Devils couldn’t secure the win, resulting in a 38-20 loss.

Duke and Florida State combined for 58 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 47.5 points. In addition to losing straight-up, Duke did not cover the spread as 14-point underdogs.

In the loss against Florida State, Riley Leonard threw for 69 yards on 7 of 16 passing. His overall passer rating was 30.47, and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

The top rusher for Duke against Florida State was Jaquez Moore. He gained 110 rushing yards and scored one time in 16 attempts. For the game, Jordan Moore hauled in two receptions for a total of 26 yards, which led the team.

The Blue Devils’ defense finished the game by giving up 420 total yards to Florida State. The team’s run defense allowed 152 yards rushing compared to 268 in the passing game. The Blue Devils’ defense faces off against Louisville with 15 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 13.9 points per game, which is 44th in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 29th in the NCAA, allowing 179.4 passing yards per game. Duke’s run defense is yielding 136.4 rushing yards per contest.

Away Injury Report

Louisville Cardinals Recent Form:

Despite dropping their most recent game by a score of 38-21 to Pittsburgh, the Louisville Cardinals still have an above .500 record of 6-1 as they take on Duke.

Going into the game, Louisville was favored by 7.5, giving them an ATS loss. On the over/under, the team combined for 59 which surpassed the betting line of 44.5 points.

Jack Plummer delivered a passer rating of 66.99 as he threw for 350 yards against Pittsburgh. In the game, he made 52 passing attempts and completed 55.8% of his passes.

Maurice Turner was the primary rusher for Louisville vs. Pittsburgh, with 81 rushing yards, carrying the ball 12 times. Unfortunately, he didn’t manage to score a rushing touchdown in the game. In the passing game, Jamari Thrash finished with a team-high 120 receiving yards while averaging 13.3 yards per reception.

On defense, Louisville finished their game against Pittsburgh by giving up a total of 414 yards. Pittsburgh threw the ball 45 times for 302 vs. Louisville. While on the ground, the Cardinals gave up 112 rushing yards. Ranked 119th in passing yards allowed per game, Louisville’s defense gets ready to take on Duke. Opponents have attempted an average of 31.1 passes per game against the Cardinals. They’re allowing 20.6 points per contest, placing them 70th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 24th in the NCAA.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• On the road, Duke has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.
• Looking across Louisville’s ten most recent home games, they are 3-7 against the spread.
• In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Louisville has put together an ATS record of 3-2.
• Duke’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 4-1.

Free Pick

With both teams coming off losses, I’m expecting Louisville to get back on track vs. Duke. Currently, the spread is sitting at -4 in favor of the Cardinals. I’d recommend taking Louisville to cover, as they should win this one by at least one touchdown.