Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles Pick – Bet the Total

Duke Blue Devils (5-1 SU, ATS 4-1) vs Florida State Seminoles (6-0 SU, ATS 3-2)

Date: Saturday, October 21st

Location: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL

TV: ABC

Point Spread: Duke +14/Florida St. -14 (Bet wisely! Lay only -105 odds at BetAnysports!)

Money Line: Duke +460/FSU -673

Over/Under: 50

The Duke Blue Devils and Florida State Seminoles matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, FL. The over/under for this matchup is currently 50, while Florida State is favored by -14.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

There wasn’t a head-to-head matchup between Duke and Florida State last season. But looking back across their previous three head-to-head games, Duke is 3-0. The over/under record in these games was 1-2, with the teams averaging 63 points per game combined. Duke went 2-1 vs. the spread.

Duke Blue Devils Recent Form:

Duke’s 24-3 victory against NC State has put their record at 5-1 as they gear up for this week’s clash with Florida State.

The over/under line going into the game was 42.5 points, which the teams fell short of. Duke picked up an ATS win as they were favored by 4.

In the win against NC State, quarterback Henry Belin IV achieved a QB rating of 71.88, completing 4 of 12 passes for 107 yards. Additionally, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.

Duke’s leading rusher against NC State was Jordan Waters, who rushed for 123 yards and found the endzone one time on 13 carries. In terms of receiving, Jalon Calhoun was the standout for the team, finding the endzone one time and securing one ball for 69 yards.

Against NC State, the Blue Devils defense was excellent against NC State, giving up just 3 points on 305 yards allowed. NC State’s passing game finished with 193 yards. Up-front, Duke gave up 3.7 yards per attempt. The Blue Devils’ defense will take the field with 14 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 9.8 points per game (27th). Against the pass, the team is 19th in the NCAA, allowing 164.7 passing yards per game. Additionally, Duke’s run defense has 133.8 rushing yards per contest.

Away Injury Report

Florida State Seminoles Recent Form:

Prepping for this week’s matchup against Duke, the Florida State Seminoles remain undefeated at 6-0. Their latest encounter saw them beat Syracuse with a 41-3 score.

With an over/under line of 53.5 going into the game, the teams fell short of that number with 44 points. Florida State covered the spread as 19-point favorites.

Quarterback Jordan Travis finished with 284 passing yards in the team’s most recent win over Syracuse. Not only did he throw for one touchdown, but he ran for two scores.

The top rusher for Florida State against Syracuse was Lawrance Toafili. He gained 93 rushing yards and scored one time in 7 attempts. Keon Coleman was the go-to receiver for the team, finding the endzone one time and securing nine balls for 140 yards.

Against Syracuse, the Seminoles’ defense was excellent against Syracuse, giving up just 3 points on 261 yards allowed. Syracuse’s passing game finished with 137 yards. Up-front, Florida State gave up 3.4 yards per attempt. This season, the Seminoles’ defense has yielded an average of 141.3 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 119th. Opponents have an average of 221.5 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 67.9 when facing Florida State. They are currently 82nd in points allowed in NCAA rankings.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• When playing on the road, Duke has an ATS mark of 2-1 vs. the spread.
• Florida State’s ATS record at home (last five) is 4-1.
• Florida State’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 7-3.
• Duke are 4-1 in their last five games as favorites.

Free Pick

Let’s not overcomplicate things—both teams boast top-20 defenses that are brick walls in the red zone and stingy on third down. Add in their positive turnover margins, and you’ve got a recipe for a game that’ll feature more punts than touchdown dances. Factor in that neither team is giving up big yards per play, and you’ve got a clock-grinding, low-scoring affair on your hands. Lock in that Under 48.5 and watch the defenses do their thing.