College Football Picks: RBD’s “Asterisk Play” Targets Notre Dame
“Okay, we’ll take the #$@&%*!’s and the #$@&%*!’s, but we DON’T want the Irish!”
Saturday’s play:
N. Dame
I think “The asterisk play” is a stupid name.
I think having ANY name for plays is ridiculous.
But ya know what’s not stupid and ridiculous?
Winning.
Beating the books.
And all this play does is win.
And now I can add the NBA to the other sports that the asterisk play is making me money on.
Three teams qualified for the spot in the first two days of NBA play.
I used two in the homepage column and one in the forum.
Its record is 1-2, 67%.
Which is right in line with the other sports:
WNBA: 2-6, 75% Fade (corrected from 3-6)
College football: 5-9, 64% Fade
NFL: 0-8, 100% Fade
and now
NBA: 1-2, 67% Fade
Combined: 8-25, a 75% Fade
Over 30 games charted and hitting at 75%. And best of all – almost every one of them has been shared here at PredictEm, in either my homepage articles or the forum section.
I never did get around to assigning an acronym or name to the play.
I just refer to it by the symbol I put next to its record on the charts in my logbook (for an example, see my NFL post.)
And, being the superstitious type, I’m not about to name it now.
You don’t fix what ain’t broke.
So it remains the play with the dumb name, “The asterisk play.”
And I’m going to ride this dumb nag until it bucks me
Three teams qualify for asterisk plays this week: one NFL and two college. (Plus, each day may bring another NBA play, so be sure to check the forum for daily updates.)
I posted the NFL game in the forum; I’ll use one other here. I’ll post the third game in the forum for information purposes, not sure whether I’ll play it or not.
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Now, on to this week’s play.
I don’t like the Irish.
No, I don’t mean that in the Blazing Saddles sense, as noted in the quote atop this article.
I mean, I don’t like Notre Dame.
For some reason, they repulse me.
Because of that, I don’t like betting on them, I don’t like watching them on TV.
For me, half the fun of sports betting is seeing if my ‘capping can beat the book’s numbers. The other half is watching my money ride and yelling at my TV.
And I can’t stand watching the Irish
I don’t know the roots of this repulsion.
I don’t think I ever suffered a bad beat at their hands.
I don’t think it’s a Rudy thing.
Maybe it’s that creepy little mascot guy they have running around on the field.
All I know is – it’s always been this way.
I don’t like the Irish.
But I have to make an exception this week.
Why?
WF2 says Navy should be the Fav.
WF1 says ND is the correct Fav.
And WF1’s number is a TD higher than WF2’s.
Which makes it . . .
The asterisk play!
As noted above, in college football, it’s 5-9, a 64% Fade.
The subcategory, a breakdown by H-A, is Hm 2-2, 3-7 on the Rd.
Navy is at home, the weaker of the two Fades.
But every other category in every other sport has a losing record, so I’m betting the odds; I’m saying that 2-2 is more likely to go 2-3 than 3-2.
But the only numbers I need to know to tell me where to place my money this weekend are “64% Fade in college” and “75% Fade all sports.”
But if you’re looking for some generic stuff:
ND is 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS.
Navy is 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS.
The only loss for the Irish came on opening day against N. Illinois.
Yes, they lost to a Mac team.
As 28-point Favs.
At home.
Inexcusable.
Because I don’t bet the Irish, I missed out on a great opportunity in their next game when they took out their anger on Purdue, kicking Boilermaker butt 66-7, as -7 Favs.
In fact, since that loss in their season opener, ND has won five of six games by more than the spread on this one.
However, with the exception of Louisville (who they only beat by 7), none of their other opponents are as tough as undefeated Navy.
But Navy has had a cakewalk schedule, too. Massey has them ranked at 129 out of 134 teams.
ND is ranked 52.
Teamrankings has Notre Dame at 20, Navy at 113.
This is not the Navy of years past, who relied strictly on the run and the option. Newbury is in his second year as HC, and he’s opened up the offense. A few weeks ago, I saw them in what everyone thought was going to be a take-a-knee situation at the end of the first half. Instead, Newberry had his QB throw a pass over the middle that went for a touchdown.
He won’t get away with something like that again, not against a Notre Dame defense that is ranked at number 10 in least amount of yardage allowed per game.
Last year, coach Newberry’s first year, the Midshipmen were shipwrecked at home by the Irish, 42-3.
I don’t need them to blow Navy out of the water by quite as many points in this game. As long as they cover the -13, I’m a happy sailor.
This is where I’m supposed to end the article with, “Go Irish!”
But I just can’t bring myself to do it.
I loathe them.
Even with money on it I already know I’ll have a hard time rooting for them while I’m watching the game.
And if they screw me on Saturday, I’ll have even more reason to detest them.
When to Buy Recommendation
ND opened -13, and that’s where they’re sitting right now Thursday morning.
I have no gut feel for where this line will go.
An undefeated Navy team at 6-0, getting 13 points at home, may see a little money come in to drive the line in my favor. But it’s just as likely that public money on game day will come on the Fav, and Notre Dame is one of the sports media and public’s darlings.
I could see it going to 13’/14 by kickoff.
So I bought it today.
This week’s play:
N Dame -13 (Line when article submitted) Bet it FREE by grabbing one of numerous 100% bonuses on our sportsbook bonuses page!