College Football Best Bets: Texas A&M vs. Bowling Green

Bowling Green Falcons (1-1 SU, ATS 1-0) vs Texas A&M Aggies (2-1 SU, ATS 1-1)

Date: 7:30 EST Saturday, September 21st

Location: Kyle Field, College Station, TX

TV: SEC

Point Spread: BG +23/TX AM -23 (Get a 100% cash bonus up to $500 with code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!)

Money Line: BGSU +1013/TAMU -2157

Over/Under: 52.5

The Texas A&M Aggies, currently 2-1 on the season, are set to host the Bowling Green Falcons at Kyle Field in College Station. Kick-off is scheduled for 7:30 ET on Saturday, September 21st, with SEC Network handling the broadcast. The Aggies are the heavy favorite with a -23 point spread, and the over/under line is at 52.5 points. Bowling Green enters the game with a 1-1 record for the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The Bowling Green Falcons and Texas A&M Aggies did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Bowling Green Falcons have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Texas A&M Aggies went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 62 points per game.

Bowling Green Falcons Recent Form:

Bowling Green is looking to build on their 1-1 record after a 34-27 loss to Penn State on the road. Despite being heavy +34 point underdogs, the Falcons covered the spread, and the combined score of 61 points surpassed the over/under line of 51 points.

The Falcons led 10-7 after the first quarter, but Penn State outscored them 17-10 in the second quarter, leaving Bowling Green down 24-20 at halftime. After a 7-0 third quarter, the Falcons added 7 points in the fourth quarter, but it wasn’t enough to pull off the upset.

In their 34-27 loss to Penn State, Bowling Green’s offense put up 377 yards, with 254 yards coming from the passing game. Connor Bazelak completed 64.1% of his passes for 254 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw two interceptions and ended the game with a passer rating of 78.37. Harold Fannin Jr. was his top target, catching 11 passes for 137 yards.

Bowling Green’s ground game managed 123 yards, with Jaison Patterson leading the way with 57 yards on 16 carries. The Falcons’ offense moved the chains 20 times but struggled with turnovers, as Bazelak’s two interceptions proved costly.

Bowling Green’s defense will need to tighten up after allowing 443 total yards in their most recent game. Penn State’s rushing attack was particularly effective, racking up 239 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. The Falcons did manage to pick off one pass, but they gave up 204 yards through the air on 13 completions.

Away Injury Report

Texas A&M Aggies Recent Form:

After being favored by -3 on the road, Texas A&M picked up a 33-20 win over Florida, moving their record to 2-1 for the season. The Aggies not only won the game but also covered the spread, and the over/under line of 45.5 points was surpassed, with the teams combining for 53 points.

Texas A&M took control early, leading 10-0 after the first quarter and adding another 10 points in the second quarter to go up 20-0 at halftime. Florida closed the gap to 20-13 in the third quarter, but the Aggies outscored them 13-6 in the fourth to secure the win.

Quarterback Marcel Reed led Texas A&M’s offense to 488 total yards in their 33-20 win over Florida, throwing for 178 yards and two touchdowns. Reed completed 64.7% of his passes and finished with a passer rating of 138.85. Cyrus Allen was his top target, catching three passes for 81 yards.

The Aggies’ ground game was dominant, racking up 310 rushing yards on 55 attempts. Le’Veon Moss led the way with 110 yards on 18 carries, averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. Texas A&M picked up 27 first downs, with one coming on the ground and two through the air.

Texas A&M’s defense came up with three interceptions in their most recent game, holding Florida to 249 passing yards on 18 completions. The Aggies allowed just 52 rushing yards on 25 attempts, and Florida finished with 301 total yards. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, Texas A&M’s defense played a key role in their 33-20 road win.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past five road matchups, Bowling Green has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 31 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
• When looking at their past three home matchups, Texas A&M has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 28 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bowling Green Falcons have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-4.
• In their last three contests as the favorite, Texas A&M has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.

Free Pick

The Aggies are the huge favorite heading into this one and should come out of the game with their 3rd win of the season. However, I think Bowling Green can do enough offensively, especially during garbage time to cover the spread. My play for Saturday’s Bowling Green and Texas A&M matchup is to take the Green Falcons to cover at +23.