Clemson vs. Wake Forest: Free ATS Spread Pick | Week 7

Clemson Tigers (4-1 SU, ATS 3-2)  vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-3 SU, ATS 1-2-1)

Date: 12:00 EST Saturday, October 12th

Location: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Clem -20.5/WF +20.5 (Bet on games at -105 instead of -110 at BAS Sportsbook!)

Money Line: Tigers -1363/Demon Deacons  +771

Over/Under: 60.5

ESPN will be covering the week seven matchup between the Clemson Tigers and Wake Forest Demon Deacons, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium in Winston-Salem. Clemson enters the game with a 4-1 record, while Wake Forest is 2-3 on the season. The Tigers are favored by -20.5 points, and the over/under line is currently at 60.5 points.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Last season, the Clemson Tigers and Wake Forest Demon Deacons did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons have the leg up at 3-0. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 68 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

Clemson Tigers Recent Form:

Clemson enters Week 7 against Wake Forest with a 4-1 record, ranked 11th in our power rankings. They have a 99.9% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 26% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. Clemson also holds the 14th-best odds to make the CFB playoff at 36.7%.

The Tigers are 3-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in four of five games, going 4-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +16.2 points, and they are 3-2 against the spread, covering all three home games but going 0-2 ATS on the road.

This week’s over/under line is 60.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Clemson’s over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 62.6 points. Their average over/under line has been 50.1 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 12.5 points per game.

Heading into week 7, Clemson’s offense is averaging 39.4 points per game, ranking 14th nationally. However, they are 5th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Cade Klubnik has thrown for 1,219 yards, completing 64.3% of his passes, with 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions. His passer rating is 118.

Clemson is 45th in passing yards per game, averaging 269.2, and they are 72nd in third-down conversions, converting 38.7% of their attempts. Phil Mafah leads the rushing attack with 496 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry. Antonio Williams has 280 receiving yards and four touchdowns.

In their recent game against Florida State, Clemson’s defense allowed just 13 points, contributing to a 29-13 victory. They held the Seminoles to 14 first downs and only 39 rushing yards on 22 attempts. Florida State threw the ball 41 times, completing 23 passes for 228 yards, while Clemson’s defense also recorded an interception.

For the season, Clemson is ranked 39th nationally, allowing 23.2 points per game. Opponents have averaged 220.4 passing yards per game and 155.2 rushing yards against Clemson’s defense. Quarterbacks have completed 56.1% of their passes, with a passer rating of 76.9 when facing Clemson.

Away Injury Report

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Recent Form:

Wake Forest enters Week 7 against Clemson with a 2-3 record, ranking 84th in our power rankings. They have a 0% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast but an 11% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 0-3, while they’ve gone 1-0 on the road this season.

The Demon Deacons have been favored in just one game this season, with an average scoring margin of -0.4 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 1-2-1, and they are 0-2-1 against the spread at home.

Wake Forest’s over/under record is 3-1, with their games averaging 61.6 points. Their average over/under line is 58.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 60.5 points.

Heading into week 7, Wake Forest’s offense ranks 43rd in points per game, averaging 30.6. They are 56th in our offensive power rankings. The Demon Deacons have focused on their passing game, ranking 22nd in both passing attempts and completions, with 279.2 yards per game.

Hank Bachmeier leads the team with 1,313 passing yards, completing 63.6% of his throws. He has seven touchdowns and two interceptions, with a passer rating of 94. On the ground, Demond Claiborne has rushed for 471 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Taylor Morin leads the receivers with 345 yards on 26 catches.

Wake Forest’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 31 points per game. In their recent matchup against NC State, they gave up 30 points while allowing 419 total yards, including 314 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 291.4 passing yards per game against Wake Forest, completing 69.6% of their passes. On the ground, the defense has allowed 169.8 rushing yards per game.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Through their last five road contests, the Clemson Tigers offense has averaged 20 points per game while allowing an average of 22. Clemson posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 1-4 ATS.
• Across their three previous home games, Wake Forest has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 1-2, averaging 24 points per game.
• Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Wake Forest has an ATS mark of 1-1-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
• As the betting favorite, the Clemson Tigers have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 3-0.

Free Pick

Although last week showed us that anything can happen in college football on any given week, this isn’t the spot to start going big on Wake Forest to pull off the upset. However, with the spread sitting at -20.5, I do like the Demon Deacons to keep this one within that margin. Clemson should get off to a hot start, but Wake Forest has a capable enough offense to put up some points late. My pick is Wake Forest to cover.

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