Clemson vs North Carolina: Atlantic Coast Showdown Analysis – Nov 18

North Carolina Tar Heels (8-2 SU, ATS 5-2) vs Clemson Tigers (6-4 SU, ATS 4-3)

Date: Saturday, November 18th

Location: Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC), Clemson, SC

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: NC +6.5/Clem -6.5

Money Line: UNC +207/Tigers -265

Over/Under: 58

The North Carolina Tar Heels and Clemson Tigers matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) in Clemson, SC. The over/under for this matchup is currently 58, while Clemson is favored by -6.5.

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Head-to-Head Matchup:

The last time Clemson and North Carolina faced off came last year, ending in a 39-10 win for Clemson. In the game, Clemson threw for 317 yards while averaging 11.3 yards per completion. North Carolina ran for 113 compared to 68 for Clemson.

North Carolina Tar Heels Recent Form:

Heading into this week’s matchup vs. Clemson, the North Carolina Tar Heels have an above .500 record of 8-2. This comes after taking down Duke in their most recent game (47-45).

With their 92 combined points, North Carolina and Duke surpassed the over/under line of 53. Although North Carolina won straight-up, it wasn’t enough to cover at -10.

During the win against Duke, quarterback Drake Maye managed to score two rushing touchdowns while gaining 22 rushing yards. In the passing department, he had a completion rate of 65.1% and threw for 342 yards, resulting in a passer rating of 87.55.

Omarion Hampton emerged as the primary rusher for North Carolina against Duke. He rushed for 169 yards and scored one time in 31 attempts. North Carolina’s most productive receiver in the game was Devontez Walker, who finished with 162 on seven receptions.

The Tar Heels’ defense finished the game by giving up 379 total yards to Duke. The team’s run defense allowed 179 yards rushing compared to 200 in the passing game. The North Carolina defense, going into this week’s game, holds 96th place for points allowed, allowing 25.5 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 235.5 passing yards each game against them (108th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 155.6 rushing yards, ranking them 98th in college football.

Away Injury Report

Clemson Tigers Recent Form:

Clemson’s 42-21 win against Georgia Tech has propelled their record to 6-4 as they prepare for this week’s showdown with North Carolina.

Heading into the game, Clemson was the betting favorite at 14.5 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 63 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

In the win vs. Georgia Tech quarterback Cade Klubnik finished with a QB rating of 110.54 while completing 23 of 34 passes for 205 yards. He also ended the game with four touchdowns.

Phil Mafah carried the ball 17 times against Georgia Tech and led the team in rushing with 96 yards, but he couldn’t find the endzone on the ground during the game. In terms of receiving, Beaux Collins was the standout for the team, finding the endzone one time and securing five balls for 65 yards.

The Tigers’ defense finished the game by giving up 254 total yards to Georgia Tech. The team’s run defense allowed 117 yards rushing compared to 137 in the passing game. Looking at this week’s game, the Clemson defense stands at 79th in points allowed, permitting 21.2 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 162.5 passing yards per game against them (19th). On the ground, they’re conceding 109.4 rushing yards, ranking them 29th in college football.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Looking at North Carolina’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 3-2.
• Clemson is 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
• Clemson’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 5-4.
• When favored, North Carolina has gone 6-4 vs. the spread (last 10).

Free Pick

Last week, Clemson easily handled a Georgia Tech team that took down the Tar Heels earlier this season. Favored by -6.5 at home, I’m taking Clemson on the spread. Even though North Carolina picked up an OT win over Duke last week, I see them struggling vs. the Tigers.