Bowling Green Falcons vs Ohio Bobcats Pick 11/22/22

Bowling Green Falcons (6-5 SU, ATS 4-6-1) vs Ohio Bobcats (8-3 SU, ATS 8-3-0)

Date: Tuesday, November 22nd

Location: Peden Stadium, Athens, OH

TV: ESNPU

Point Spread: Falcons +7.5/Bobcats -7.5 (Make BG a +27.5 underdog or OH a +12.5 underdog by inserting either into a massive 20 point college football teaser found at Wagerweb Sportsbook!)

Money Line: Falcons +211/Bobcats -265

Over/Under: 56

RECENT FORM

The Falcons finished last season with an overall record of 6-5. In their 7 Mid-American games, they went 5-2. This season, the Falcons have been favored in 3 games while posting an ATS mark of 4-6-1. Their average over-under betting line is 51.55 leading to an over-under record of 7-4-0.

The Falcons are going for another win, as in their last game, they defeated Toledo, despite entering as the betting underdog. The team finished the game by throwing for four touchdown passes. Overall, the Falcons had 395 passing yards on a completion percentage of 55.6%. In the rushing game, the Falcons did not find the endzone, finishing with a total of 61 yards on the ground.

Heading into the matchup, Matt McDonald has an overall passer rating of 96.72 on a total of 2419 yards. Thus far, he has thrown for 21 touchdowns and five interceptions. Wide receiver Odieu Hiliare has come up with the most production for the team, with a total of 712 receiving yards. The top option in the run game for the team is Jaison Patterson, who has carried the ball 122 times for a total of 543 yards.

This year, the Bobcats have an overall record of 8-3. In addition, they have also played well in the Mid-American, going 6-1. The Bobcats have been favored in 4 games this season while posting an ATS mark of 8-3-0. Their average over-under betting line is 58.91 leading to an over-under record of 7-4-0.

In their previous game, the Bobcats picked up a 32-18 home win over Ball State. This was an impressive victory as they were also the 3.5-point underdogs. In the win, Ohio completed 70.8 of their 24 passes, 1 of which resulted in a touchdown. The team ended the game with two rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 224 yards on the ground.

Kurtis Rourke heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer rating of 117.0 on a total of 3256 yards through the air. So far, the team’s most productive wide receiver is Sam Wiglusz, who has caught 65 passes for a total of 794 yards. In the run game, Sieh Bangura has accumulated 788 yards on 150 attempts to lead the team.

BETTING TRENDS

In their last ten contests, the Falcons have a straight-up record of 6-4-0 while covering the spread at a rate of 60.0%. On offense, the team averaged 25.5 points per game while allowing 31.6. Their over-under mark (last 10) is 6-4-0.

In their last five games away from home, the Falcons have a straight-up record of 3-2-0 while going 2-2-1 vs. the spread. The team’s offense averaged 27.6 points per game in these contests.

Ohio have gone 7-3-0 over their last ten contests, including posting an ATS record of 7-3-0. The team’s average scoring differential was 2.9, as they averaged 32.9 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 30.0. Their last ten over-under record is 6-4-0.

Across their last five home contests, Ohio has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0-0, averaging 44.8 points per game.

More Picks: Get our Week 13 Utah St./Boise St. betting analysis plus free ATS pick

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Falcons will look to improve their offensive output, as they are ranked just 88th in the NCAA in points scored.

Although Bowling Green has struggled to move the chains on 3rd down throughout the season, they have a chance to take advantage against an Ohio defense that is allowing an average of 30.73 points per game and has had its problems getting off the field on third down.

Although the Falcons have turned to the passing attack at a below-average rate this season, they have an opportunity to find success through the air vs. an Ohio defense allowing teams to complete passes at a rate of 63.84%.

So far, the Bowling Green offense is averaging just 105.45 yards per game on the ground. This production has come on an average of 33.91 rush attempts per game (93rd). This week, the Falcons will be facing an Ohio defense ranked 70th in rush yards allowed per game. This year, they have averaged 108.3 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Bobcats are ranked 32nd in points per game and are facing a Bowling Green defense that allows an average of 32.82 points per game. One aspect of this matchup that could be tough for Ohio is the fact that Bowling Green is 12th in sacks per game.

So far, the Ohio offense is averaging just 138.18 yards per game on the ground. This production has come on an average of 33.82 rush attempts per game (94th). This week, the Bobcats will be facing a Bowling Green defense that is ranked 107th in rush yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 155.11 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

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