Bowling Green Falcons vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Pick

Bowling Green Falcons (1-3 SU, ATS 0-3) vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-2 SU, ATS 1-2)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Location: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
TV: ACCN
Point Spread: Bowling Green +23.5/Georgia Tech -23.5
Money Line: Bowling Green +1110/Georgia Tech -2722
Over/Under: 52.5

The Bowling Green Falcons and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets matchup in a non-conference showdown at Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta, GA. The over/under for this matchup is currently 52.5 while Georgia Tech is favored by -23.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Bowling Green has gone 2-1. Despite their straight-up record, Georgia Tech went 2-1 vs. the spread. Together, the team’s averaged 50 points leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

Bowling Green Falcons Recent Form:

Bowling Green has an overall record of 1-3 as they prepare for this game. In their most recent game, they faced Ohio and were unable to secure a win, resulting in a 38-7 loss the Bobcats.

Looking at the over/under in this matchup, the line was 44.5 and with their 45 points, the over hit. Against the spread, Bowling Green went into the game as 13-point underdogs giving them an ATS and straight-up loss.

In their most recent game, quarterback Connor Bazelak finished with 32 passing attempts against Ohio. He ended the game with 104 passing yards, while completing 53.1% of his passes. Additionally, he threw two interceptions in the loss.

Terion Stewart carried the rushing load for Bowling Green against Ohio, accumulating 107 yards on 12 attempts and finding the endzone one time. For the game, Odieu Hiliare hauled in five receptions for a total of 45 yards which led the team.

On defense, Bowling Green finished their game against Ohio, by giving up a total of 328 yards. Ohio threw the ball 19 times for 201 vs. Bowling Green. While on the ground, the Falcons gave up 127 rushing yards. Defensively, the Falcons enter the game with nine sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 29.5 points per game thus far this season (81st). In terms of pass defense, they’re 44th in the NCAA, giving up 184.2 passing yards per game. Against the run, Bowling Green has allowed 154.2 rushing yards per contest thus far.

Away Injury Report

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Recent Form:

After their most recent win against Wake Forest, Georgia Tech has themselves back to .500. The Yellow Jackets are now gearing up for this week’s game with a record of 2-2.

Georgia Tech was the underdog at +3.5, giving them an ATS and straight-up win. The under hit in the game with the over/under line set at 59.5 points.

In the win to Wake Forest, quarterback Haynes King concluded with a QB rating of 94.98 while connecting on 16 of 27 passes for 222 yards. Moreover, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.

Jamal Haynes emerged as the primary rusher for Georgia Tech against Wake Forest. He rushed for 95 yards and scored one time in 18 attempts. On his four receptions, Eric Singleton Jr. finished with one touchdown and 50 yards.

On defense, Georgia Tech finished their game against Wake Forest, by giving up a total of 386 yards. Wake Forest threw the ball 30 times for 162 vs. Georgia Tech. While on the ground, the Yellow Jackets gave up 224 rushing yards. Coming into their matchup vs. Bowling Green, the Georgia Tech defense is 80th in points allowed, giving up 29 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 188.8 passing yards per game against them (48th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 236.5 rushing yards, which ranks them 162nd in college football.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• On the road, Bowling Green has gone 1-2 vs. the spread.
• Georgia Tech is 7-3 in their last ten home games.
• Looking back at the last ten times Georgia Tech went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 8-2.
• Bowling Green is 3-7 in their last ten games as the favorite.

Line Movement:

On the moneyline, Georgia Tech has shifted from where they opened at -2000 to -2722, putting their implied win probability at 96%. The oddsmakers currently have Bowling Green price at +1110 with an implied win probability of 8. Bowling Green opened at +900 on the moneyline. Since the lines opened, Georgia Tech has shifted from being -21 point favorites to their current line of -23.5 (-112). Meanwhile, Bowling Green is currently +23.5 (-109) point underdogs on the road. The over/under market has undergone changes since its opening at 54, currently situated at 52.5.

Free Pick

Bowling Green’s recent loss to Ohio was disappointing, but their rushing attack showed promise, with Terion Stewart putting up 107 yards. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech’s defense has shown vulnerabilities, especially against the run, ranking a dismal 128th in FBS college football. Bowling Green’s ground game could exploit this weakness, helping them control the clock and keep the score within reach. Take Bowling Green +21