Boston College vs Virginia Tech Free Betting Pick – October 17th, 2024

by | Last updated Oct 15, 2024 | cfb

Boston College Eagles (4-2 SU, ATS 2-3) vs Virginia Tech Hokies (3-3 SU, ATS 3-2)
Date: 7:30 EST Thursday, October 17th
Location: Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: BC +7/VT -7
Money Line: BC +210/VT -262
Over/Under: 49

ESPN will be covering the week eight matchup between the Boston College Eagles and Virginia Tech Hokies, set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Lane Stadium in Blacksburg. The Hokies are the -7-point favorites at home, and the over/under line is currently at 49 points. Boston College enters the game with a 4-2 record, while Virginia Tech is 3-3 on the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Last season, the Boston College Eagles and Virginia Tech Hokies did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Virginia Tech Hokies have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Boston College Eagles went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 0-3 on an average of 48 points per game.

Boston College Eagles Recent Form:

Boston College enters Week 8 with a 4-2 record, but they have just a 0.3% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. However, they have an 80.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Eagles are 2-0 at home but 1-2 on the road this season.

Boston College has a +10 average scoring margin this season, and their ATS record is 2-3. They are 0-2 against the spread as favorites but 2-1 as underdogs.

The over/under record for Boston College games is 0-5, with their games averaging 44.3 points. This week’s line is set at 49 points, slightly below their average line of 49.9 points.

Boston College’s offense is averaging 27.2 points per game, ranking 54th nationally as they head into week 8. Our power rankings place them 53rd. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos has thrown for 983 yards with a passer rating of 121. He has 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. The Eagles are 82nd in passing attempts, averaging 195.7 yards per game through the air.

Boston College ranks 31st in rushing attempts, averaging 162.3 yards per game. Treshaun Ward leads the ground game with 283 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. On third downs, the Eagles convert 46.8% of their attempts, placing them 24th nationally. Lewis Bond has 358 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Boston College’s defense, ranked 16th nationally, has allowed an average of 17.2 points per game this season. They’ve given up 217 passing yards per game, ranking 86th, and 106.7 rushing yards per game, which is 29th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 66.9 and a completion rate of 56.2% against the Eagles’ defense.

In their recent game against Virginia, Boston College allowed 24 points and 449 total yards, including 301 passing yards. Virginia also recorded 148 rushing yards on 36 attempts and secured 22 first downs.

Away Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Alex Broome RB Knee Out

Virginia Tech Hokies Recent Form:

Virginia Tech enters Week 8 with a 3-3 record and a 31st-place spot in our power rankings. They have a 79.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections. So far, the Hokies are 1-1 at home and 2-1 on the road this season.

Virginia Tech has been favored in four of their six games, going 3-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +7.8 points per game, and they are 3-2 against the spread, covering in all three road games but going 0-2 ATS at home.

The over/under line for this week’s game is set at 49 points. The Hokies’ games have averaged 53.2 points, with their over/under record at 3-2. Their average over/under line this season has been 49.9 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 3.2 points per game.

Virginia Tech’s offense is averaging 30.5 points per game, placing them 39th in the nation, and they rank 41st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. Their rushing attack is their strength, with 182.8 yards per game on 37.8 attempts, ranking 26th in rushing attempts.

Bhayshul Tuten leads the ground game with 605 rushing yards, nine touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Kyron Drones has thrown for 1,155 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 89.

Virginia Tech’s defense played a significant role in their recent 31-7 win over Stanford, allowing just seven points. They limited Stanford to 200 total yards, including 113 rushing yards on 41 attempts and just 87 passing yards.

On the season, Virginia Tech’s defense is ranked 39th nationally, giving up 22.7 points per game. They are allowing 184.2 passing yards per game, ranking 37th, and 172 rushing yards per game, which is 122nd in the country.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Nick Gallo TE Knee Questionable
Ali Jennings WR Undisclosed Questionable
Will Johnson LB Undisclosed Questionable
Jayden McDonald LB Undisclosed Questionable
Jalen Stroman S Undisclosed Out
P.J. Prioleau RB Lower Leg Out
Tucker Holloway WR Knee Questionable
Kemari Copeland DL Elbow Out
Layth Ghannam OL Undisclosed Questionable
Takye Heath WR Undisclosed Questionable
Jordan Tapscott WR Undisclosed Questionable

Betting Trends

  • Boston College has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 21 points per game while allowing 21. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Virginia Tech Hokies offense has averaged 31 points per game while allowing an average of 25. Virginia Tech posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 7-3 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Boston College Eagles have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Virginia Tech has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.

Free Pick

I do agree with the oddsmakers, that the Hokies should be favored in this one, but I don’t agree with the spread sitting at -7 in their favor. These two teams are more evenly matched than this line suggests. I’m taking Boston College to cover the spread on the road in this one.

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Best Parlays

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